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About this Pallas Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Pallas Data in January 2025, with a middle field date of January 6, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,328 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.7%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Pallas Data (October 2024), the Conservative Party loses two points from 44% to 42% (variation similar to moe), the Liberal Party climbs three points from 22% to 25%, and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 42% ▼2 CPC 25% ▲3 LPC 18% ▼1 NDP 9% ▲1 BQ 4% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-01-06 338Canada.com
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201 CPC 67 LPC 45 BQ 28 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 9 2 NB 8 2 QC 45 17 14 2 ON 72 33 16 1 MB 11 2 1 SK 14 AB 36 1 BC 27 10 5 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Pallas Data federal poll January 6, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Pallas Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 50% ▲5 CPC 32% ▲5 LPC 14% ▼5 NDP 1% ▼3 GPC 1% ▼3 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-01-06 338Canada.com
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Quebec 37% ▲2 BQ 27% ▲1 CPC 21% ▼3 LPC 11% ▼3 NDP 4% ▲3 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-01-06 338Canada.com
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Ontario 41% ▼3 CPC 30% ▲3 LPC 23% ▲3 NDP 2% ▼4 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-01-06 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 59% ▼4 CPC 19% NDP 15% ▲4 LPC 3% ▲2 PPC 2% GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-01-06 338Canada.com
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Alberta 63% ▼1 CPC 17% ▲7 LPC 13% ▼1 NDP 3% GPC 2% ▼2 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-01-06 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 39% ▼8 CPC 29% ▲8 LPC 20% ▼8 NDP 9% ▲5 GPC 1% PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-01-06 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 33% ▲8 LPC 32% ▼3 CPC 22% ▼2 NDP 7% ▼2 BQ 4% ▼1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-01-06 338Canada.com
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Male voters 53% ▲1 CPC 18% ▼2 LPC 13% ▼1 NDP 10% ▲2 BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-01-06 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 43% ▲5 CPC 28% ▼2 NDP 15% LPC 7% ▼1 BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 2% PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-01-06 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 43% ▼2 CPC 21% ▲3 LPC 17% ▼3 NDP 12% BQ 5% ▲3 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-01-06 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 44% ▼7 CPC 30% ▲9 LPC 13% ▲1 NDP 7% ▼1 BQ 4% ▼1 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-01-06 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 38% ▼3 CPC 37% LPC 12% ▲1 NDP 8% ▲2 BQ 3% ▼2 GPC 1% PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-01-06 338Canada.com
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