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About this Pallas Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Pallas Data in October 2024, with a middle field date of October 5, 2024. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,304 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.7%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Pallas Data (April 2024), the Conservative Party climbs three points from 41% to 44%, the Liberal Party loses four points from 26% to 22%, and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% ▲3 CPC 22% ▼4 LPC 19% ▲1 NDP 8% ▲1 BQ 4% GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2024-10-05 338Canada.com
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221 CPC 55 LPC 41 BQ 24 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 1 1 PEI 4 NS 9 1 1 NB 8 2 QC 41 21 14 2 ON 86 26 9 1 MB 11 2 1 SK 14 AB 36 1 BC 33 6 3 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Pallas Data federal poll October 5, 2024 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Pallas Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 45% ▲6 CPC 27% ▼7 LPC 19% ▼2 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC 4% ▲3 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2024-10-05 338Canada.com
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Quebec 35% ▲5 BQ 26% ▼2 CPC 24% ▼3 LPC 14% ▲3 NDP 1% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2024-10-05 338Canada.com
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Ontario 44% ▲2 CPC 27% ▼4 LPC 20% ▲3 NDP 6% GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2024-10-05 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 63% ▲19 CPC 19% ▼5 NDP 11% ▼13 LPC 2% ▼1 GPC 1% ▼4 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2024-10-05 338Canada.com
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Alberta 64% ▼1 CPC 14% ▼5 NDP 10% ▼3 LPC 4% ▲3 PPC 3% ▲3 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2024-10-05 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 47% ▲4 CPC 28% ▲5 NDP 21% LPC 4% ▼6 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2024-10-05 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 35% ▲4 CPC 25% ▼6 LPC 24% ▼1 NDP 9% ▲3 BQ 5% GPC 2% PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2024-10-05 338Canada.com
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Male voters 52% CPC 20% ▼2 LPC 14% ▲4 NDP 8% BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2024-10-05 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 38% CPC 30% ▲8 NDP 15% ▼6 LPC 8% ▲2 BQ 3% ▼4 GPC 2% ▼2 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2024-10-05 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 45% ▼3 CPC 20% ▲4 NDP 18% ▼2 LPC 12% ▲4 BQ 3% PPC 2% ▼2 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2024-10-05 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 51% ▲9 CPC 21% ▼7 LPC 12% ▼5 NDP 8% ▲3 BQ 5% ▲2 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2024-10-05 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 41% ▲4 CPC 37% LPC 11% ▼2 NDP 6% ▼3 BQ 5% ▲2 GPC 1% PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2024-10-05 338Canada.com
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