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About this Mainstreet Research federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Mainstreet Research in April 2024, with a middle field date of April 29, 2024. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,392 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.6%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Mainstreet Research (March 2024), the Conservative Party loses three points from 46% to 43%, the Liberal Party remains stable at 25%, and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 15%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 43% ▼3 CPC 25% LPC 15% NDP 7% ▲1 BQ 4% GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Mainstreet Research federal poll | 2024-04-29 338Canada.com
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219 CPC 75 LPC 31 BQ 16 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 8 3 NB 6 4 QC 33 31 13 1 ON 91 25 5 1 MB 6 5 3 SK 13 1 AB 36 1 BC 36 5 1 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Mainstreet Research federal poll April 29, 2024 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Mainstreet Research




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 43% ▲43 CPC 32% ▲32 LPC 7% ▲7 GPC 3% ▲3 NDP 1% ▲1 PPC Mainstreet Research federal poll | 2024-04-29 338Canada.com
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Quebec 31% ▲31 LPC 29% ▲29 BQ 19% ▲19 CPC 10% ▲10 NDP 5% ▲5 GPC 2% ▲2 PPC Mainstreet Research federal poll | 2024-04-29 338Canada.com
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Ontario 47% ▲47 CPC 29% ▲29 LPC 14% ▲14 NDP 4% ▲4 GPC 4% ▲4 PPC Mainstreet Research federal poll | 2024-04-29 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 48% ▲48 CPC 24% ▲24 LPC 23% ▲23 NDP 3% ▲3 GPC Mainstreet Research federal poll | 2024-04-29 338Canada.com
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Alberta 67% ▲67 CPC 14% ▲14 NDP 13% ▲13 LPC 4% ▲4 PPC 1% ▲1 GPC Mainstreet Research federal poll | 2024-04-29 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 50% ▲50 CPC 28% ▲28 NDP 18% ▲18 LPC 3% ▲3 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Mainstreet Research federal poll | 2024-04-29 338Canada.com
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