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About this EKOS federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by EKOS in October 2024, with a middle field date of October 26, 2024. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,340 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.7%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from EKOS (September 2024), the Conservative Party loses three points from 40% to 37%, the Liberal Party remains stable at 25%, and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 37% ▼3 CPC 25% LPC 18% ▲1 NDP 9% ▲1 BQ 6% ▲1 GPC 3% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2024-10-26 338Canada.com
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181 CPC 86 LPC 46 BQ 28 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 4 3 PEI 3 1 NS 6 5 NB 6 4 QC 46 20 10 2 ON 73 32 16 1 MB 9 4 1 SK 8 6 AB 32 3 2 BC 37 4 1 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on EKOS federal poll October 26, 2024 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from EKOS




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 32% ▼7 LPC 31% ▼9 CPC 15% ▲4 NDP 9% ▲3 GPC 6% ▲3 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2024-10-26 338Canada.com
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Quebec 38% ▲3 BQ 23% ▲7 CPC 22% ▲1 LPC 10% ▼7 NDP 3% ▼2 GPC 3% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2024-10-26 338Canada.com
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Ontario 40% ▼7 CPC 27% ▼2 LPC 23% ▲10 NDP 5% GPC 3% ▼1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2024-10-26 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 43% ▲25 LPC 34% ▼14 CPC 18% ▼5 NDP 4% GPC 2% ▼2 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2024-10-26 338Canada.com
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Alberta 49% ▼10 CPC 22% ▲6 LPC 18% ▼1 NDP 5% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2024-10-26 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 47% ▲3 CPC 21% ▼3 NDP 13% ▼9 LPC 13% ▲8 GPC 5% ▲3 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2024-10-26 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 33% ▲2 CPC 25% ▼6 LPC 22% NDP 9% ▲2 BQ 6% ▲1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2024-10-26 338Canada.com
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Male voters 43% ▼6 CPC 24% ▲5 LPC 14% ▲2 NDP 9% BQ 5% GPC 4% ▲1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2024-10-26 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 36% ▼8 CPC 29% ▲9 NDP 14% ▼6 LPC 7% ▲5 GPC 7% ▲2 PPC 5% ▼2 BQ EKOS federal poll | 2024-10-26 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 43% CPC 20% ▲1 NDP 17% ▼1 LPC 11% ▲5 BQ 6% ▼2 GPC 3% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2024-10-26 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 39% ▼2 CPC 32% ▲5 LPC 12% ▲2 BQ 10% ▼2 NDP 4% ▼2 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2024-10-26 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 37% LPC 30% CPC 15% ▼2 NDP 9% ▲1 BQ 5% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2024-10-26 338Canada.com
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