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About this EKOS federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by EKOS in September 2024, with a middle field date of September 21, 2024. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=967 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.2%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from EKOS (August 2024), the Conservative Party climbs two points from 38% to 40% (variation smaller than moe), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 40% ▲2 CPC 25% ▲1 LPC 17% ▼1 NDP 8% BQ 5% ▼1 GPC 3% ▼1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2024-09-21 338Canada.com
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206 CPC 72 LPC 45 BQ 18 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 4 3 PEI 3 1 NS 6 5 NB 6 4 QC 45 21 9 3 ON 92 26 3 1 MB 7 4 3 SK 13 1 AB 36 1 BC 32 6 4 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on EKOS federal poll September 21, 2024 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from EKOS




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 40% ▼2 CPC 39% ▲11 LPC 11% ▼4 NDP 6% ▲3 GPC 3% ▼7 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2024-09-21 338Canada.com
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Quebec 35% ▲1 BQ 21% ▼5 LPC 17% ▲4 NDP 16% ▼4 CPC 5% ▲1 GPC 3% ▲2 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2024-09-21 338Canada.com
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Ontario 47% ▲3 CPC 29% ▲3 LPC 13% ▼5 NDP 5% ▼2 GPC 4% ▲2 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2024-09-21 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 48% ▲15 CPC 23% ▼5 NDP 18% ▼9 LPC 4% GPC 4% ▼3 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2024-09-21 338Canada.com
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Alberta 59% ▼2 CPC 19% ▲6 NDP 16% ▲3 LPC 4% GPC 2% ▼5 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2024-09-21 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 44% ▲8 CPC 24% ▼4 NDP 22% ▲4 LPC 5% ▼2 GPC 2% ▼3 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2024-09-21 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 31% ▲4 LPC 31% ▲2 CPC 22% ▼2 NDP 7% ▼2 BQ 5% ▼1 GPC 3% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2024-09-21 338Canada.com
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Male voters 49% CPC 19% ▼1 LPC 12% ▼4 NDP 9% ▲2 BQ 5% GPC 3% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2024-09-21 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 44% ▲8 CPC 20% ▲7 LPC 20% ▼8 NDP 7% ▲1 BQ 5% ▼2 PPC 2% ▼6 GPC EKOS federal poll | 2024-09-21 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 43% ▲3 CPC 19% ▼2 NDP 18% ▼2 LPC 8% ▲3 GPC 6% ▼1 BQ 3% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2024-09-21 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 41% ▼1 CPC 27% ▼2 LPC 12% NDP 10% ▲2 BQ 6% ▲1 GPC 3% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2024-09-21 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 37% ▲3 LPC 30% ▼5 CPC 17% ▲6 NDP 8% ▼3 BQ 5% GPC 2% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2024-09-21 338Canada.com
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