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About this Ipsos federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Ipsos in June 2024, with a middle field date of June 13, 2024. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,001 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Ipsos (May 2024), the Conservative Party loses two points from 44% to 42% (variation smaller than moe), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party climbs two points from 16% to 18% (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 42% ▼2 CPC 24% ▼1 LPC 18% ▲2 NDP 8% BQ 4% ▲1 PPC 3% ▲1 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-06-13 338Canada.com
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206 CPC 72 LPC 38 BQ 25 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 8 3 NB 7 3 QC 38 25 14 1 ON 88 26 7 1 MB 6 5 3 SK 12 1 1 AB 36 1 BC 25 10 7 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Ipsos federal poll June 13, 2024 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Ipsos




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 48% CPC 34% ▲2 LPC 13% ▼2 NDP 3% ▲2 GPC 3% ▼1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-06-13 338Canada.com
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Quebec 34% BQ 25% ▲1 CPC 24% ▼2 LPC 13% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲2 PPC 2% ▼2 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-06-13 338Canada.com
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Ontario 45% ▼2 CPC 28% ▼3 LPC 17% ▲2 NDP 6% ▲2 PPC 3% ▲1 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-06-13 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 42% ▼10 CPC 29% ▲13 NDP 21% ▼8 LPC 4% ▲4 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-06-13 338Canada.com
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Alberta 63% ▼5 CPC 13% ▲3 NDP 12% ▲1 LPC 7% ▲5 PPC 1% GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-06-13 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 39% ▼3 CPC 32% ▲2 NDP 22% ▲7 LPC 6% ▲2 GPC 1% ▼5 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-06-13 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 37% ▲5 CPC 26% ▲6 LPC 19% ▲8 NDP 9% ▲2 BQ 5% ▲2 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-06-13 338Canada.com
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Male voters 47% ▲6 CPC 23% ▲2 LPC 16% ▲1 NDP 7% ▲1 BQ 6% ▲3 PPC 2% ▲1 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-06-13 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 34% ▲10 CPC 22% ▲5 NDP 20% ▲6 LPC 9% ▲4 PPC 6% ▼3 BQ 6% ▲3 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-06-13 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 42% ▲8 CPC 22% ▲3 LPC 20% ▲5 NDP 11% ▲6 BQ 4% ▲1 PPC 2% ▲1 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-06-13 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 47% ▲1 CPC 29% ▲2 LPC 14% ▲6 NDP 6% ▲1 BQ 2% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-06-13 338Canada.com
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