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About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in June 2024, with a middle field date of June 23, 2024. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,900 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.2%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (June 2024), the Conservative Party remains stable at 42%, the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 19%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


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Canada 42% CPC 23% ▲1 LPC 19% NDP 8% BQ 5% GPC 3% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-06-23 338Canada.com
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208 CPC 65 LPC 40 BQ 28 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 1 1 PEI 4 NS 7 3 1 NB 6 4 QC 40 25 12 1 ON 86 24 11 1 MB 7 4 3 SK 13 1 AB 35 2 BC 33 6 3 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Abacus Data federal poll June 23, 2024 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 41% ▼3 CPC 33% ▲3 LPC 22% NDP 2% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-06-23 338Canada.com
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Quebec 36% BQ 26% ▲2 LPC 23% ▲1 CPC 8% ▲1 NDP 5% ▼2 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-06-23 338Canada.com
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Ontario 44% CPC 27% LPC 19% ▼1 NDP 5% GPC 4% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-06-23 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 49% ▼2 CPC 29% ▼1 NDP 13% ▲2 LPC 5% GPC 3% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-06-23 338Canada.com
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Alberta 62% ▲1 CPC 25% ▲2 NDP 8% ▲7 LPC 3% ▲1 PPC 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-06-23 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 43% ▼1 CPC 26% ▼1 NDP 18% LPC 6% GPC 5% ▲2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-06-23 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 39% ▼2 CPC 23% ▲1 LPC 22% ▲2 NDP 8% BQ 5% GPC 3% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-06-23 338Canada.com
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Male voters 44% ▲2 CPC 22% LPC 17% ▼2 NDP 8% ▲1 BQ 4% ▼1 GPC 3% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-06-23 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 31% CPC 27% ▼2 NDP 18% ▼2 LPC 10% GPC 7% ▲2 BQ 7% ▲3 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-06-23 338Canada.com
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30-44 years old 40% ▼8 CPC 23% ▲3 LPC 23% ▲5 NDP 8% ▲2 BQ 5% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-06-23 338Canada.com
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45-59 years old 49% ▲7 CPC 20% ▲1 LPC 17% ▼4 NDP 8% ▼1 BQ 3% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-06-23 338Canada.com
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60+ years old 44% ▲2 CPC 29% ▲1 LPC 14% NDP 8% ▼2 BQ 3% GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-06-23 338Canada.com
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Government approval 58% ▼2 Disapprove 28% ▲2 Approve 14% Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-06-23 338Canada.com
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Abacus Data Government approval tracker 28% 58%2024-06-23 26% 60%2024-06-10 27% 58%2024-05-19 26% 57%2024-04-14 26% 60%2024-04-07 26% 59%2024-03-19 26% 58%2024-03-03 24% 59%2024-02-19 24% 59%2024-02-05 28% 58%2024-01-21 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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