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About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in May 2024, with a middle field date of May 13, 2024. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=2,000 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.2%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (April 2024), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 17%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 43% ▼1 CPC 24% ▲1 LPC 17% NDP 7% BQ 4% GPC 3% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-05-13 338Canada.com
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215 CPC 67 LPC 37 BQ 22 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 1 1 PEI 4 NS 8 2 1 NB 7 3 QC 37 27 13 1 ON 85 29 7 1 MB 7 4 3 SK 13 1 AB 36 1 BC 36 5 1 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Abacus Data federal poll May 13, 2024 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 44% ▼5 CPC 30% ▲2 LPC 20% ▲2 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-05-13 338Canada.com
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Quebec 33% BQ 29% ▲1 LPC 22% ▼6 CPC 11% ▲4 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▲2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-05-13 338Canada.com
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Ontario 45% ▼1 CPC 29% ▲2 LPC 17% ▼1 NDP 5% ▼1 PPC 4% ▲1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-05-13 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 53% ▼6 CPC 29% ▲5 NDP 11% ▼2 LPC 4% ▲2 PPC 2% ▲2 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-05-13 338Canada.com
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Alberta 65% ▲4 CPC 15% ▼4 NDP 12% ▼2 LPC 4% ▲1 PPC 2% ▲1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-05-13 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 50% ▲7 CPC 24% NDP 17% ▼2 LPC 7% ▼2 GPC 1% ▼3 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-05-13 338Canada.com
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