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About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in April 2024, with a middle field date of April 27, 2024. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,500 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (April 2024), the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Liberal Party remains stable at 23%, and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% ▲1 CPC 23% LPC 17% ▼1 NDP 7% BQ 4% ▼1 GPC 4% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-04-27 338Canada.com
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222 CPC 58 LPC 37 BQ 24 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 1 1 PEI 4 NS 9 2 NB 8 2 QC 37 26 14 1 ON 89 24 8 1 MB 10 3 1 SK 14 AB 36 1 BC 32 6 4 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Abacus Data federal poll April 27, 2024 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 49% ▲1 CPC 28% ▼1 LPC 18% ▲3 NDP 3% ▼2 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-04-27 338Canada.com
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Quebec 33% ▲1 BQ 28% ▲2 LPC 28% ▲2 CPC 7% ▼2 NDP 3% ▼1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-04-27 338Canada.com
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Ontario 46% ▲3 CPC 27% ▼1 LPC 18% ▼1 NDP 6% ▲3 PPC 3% ▼3 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-04-27 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 59% CPC 24% ▲2 NDP 13% LPC 2% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-04-27 338Canada.com
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Alberta 61% CPC 19% ▲1 NDP 14% ▲1 LPC 3% ▼3 PPC 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-04-27 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 43% ▼6 CPC 24% ▼3 NDP 19% ▲4 LPC 9% ▲3 GPC 4% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-04-27 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 39% CPC 26% ▲3 LPC 19% ▼3 NDP 8% ▲1 BQ 4% ▼1 GPC 4% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-04-27 338Canada.com
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Male voters 49% ▲2 CPC 21% ▼1 LPC 15% ▲1 NDP 7% ▼1 BQ 3% ▼1 GPC 3% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-04-27 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 43% ▲6 CPC 20% ▼2 LPC 20% ▼3 NDP 9% ▲3 PPC 4% ▼2 BQ 3% ▼3 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-04-27 338Canada.com
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30-44 years old 47% ▲3 CPC 21% ▼2 NDP 20% ▼1 LPC 5% GPC 4% ▼2 BQ 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-04-27 338Canada.com
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45-59 years old 41% ▼3 CPC 24% ▲3 LPC 14% NDP 12% ▲3 BQ 4% ▼1 GPC 4% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-04-27 338Canada.com
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60+ years old 46% CPC 28% ▲1 LPC 14% NDP 8% BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-04-27 338Canada.com
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