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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in April 2025, with a middle field date of April 15, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,500 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (April 2025), the Liberal Party loses two points from 46% to 44% (variation similar to moe), the Conservative Party climbs two points from 39% to 41% (variation similar to moe), and the Bloc Québécois is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% ▼2 LPC 41% ▲2 CPC 6% ▲1 BQ 6% ▲1 NDP 2% PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-15 338Canada.com
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191 LPC 126 CPC 22 BQ 3 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 6 1 PEI 4 NS 8 3 NB 6 4 QC 41 22 14 1 ON 82 38 1 1 MB 8 6 SK 13 1 AB 31 5 1 BC 27 16 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll April 15, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 54% ▼3 LPC 38% ▲1 CPC 4% ▲3 NDP 2% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-15 338Canada.com
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Quebec 40% ▼2 LPC 28% ▲1 CPC 24% ▲1 BQ 4% NDP 1% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-15 338Canada.com
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Ontario 49% ▼2 LPC 40% ▲2 CPC 7% ▲1 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-15 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 50% ▲2 CPC 36% ▼2 LPC 9% ▲2 NDP 2% ▼2 PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-15 338Canada.com
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Alberta 59% CPC 27% ▼2 LPC 7% ▲2 NDP 5% PPC 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-15 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 47% ▼4 LPC 43% ▲1 CPC 7% ▲3 NDP 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-15 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 46% ▼3 LPC 38% ▲2 CPC 7% ▲2 NDP 5% BQ 2% PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-15 338Canada.com
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Male voters 43% ▲1 CPC 41% ▼2 LPC 6% BQ 6% ▲1 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-15 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 45% ▲3 CPC 40% ▼3 LPC 6% ▲1 NDP 4% BQ 2% PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-15 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 44% ▲2 CPC 40% ▼2 LPC 7% ▲1 NDP 6% ▲1 BQ 1% ▼1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-15 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 47% ▼3 LPC 37% ▲1 CPC 6% BQ 5% ▲1 NDP 2% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-15 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 48% ▼1 LPC 37% ▲1 CPC 6% BQ 6% ▲2 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-15 338Canada.com
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