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About this Ipsos federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Ipsos in March 2025, with a middle field date of March 25, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,500 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Ipsos (March 2025), the Liberal Party climbs two points from 42% to 44% (variation similar to moe), the Conservative Party climbs two points from 36% to 38% (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% ▲2 LPC 38% ▲2 CPC 9% ▼1 NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 2% GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-03-25 338Canada.com
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206 LPC 112 CPC 19 BQ 5 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 8 2 QC 46 19 12 1 ON 80 41 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 13 1 AB 23 12 2 BC 29 14 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Ipsos federal poll March 25, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Ipsos




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 58% ▲58 LPC 31% ▲31 CPC 8% ▲8 NDP 2% ▲2 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-03-25 338Canada.com
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Quebec 41% ▲41 LPC 24% ▲24 BQ 21% ▲21 CPC 8% ▲8 NDP 3% ▲3 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-03-25 338Canada.com
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Ontario 47% ▲47 LPC 43% ▲43 CPC 8% ▲8 NDP 1% ▲1 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-03-25 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 52% ▲52 CPC 28% ▲28 LPC 17% ▲17 NDP 2% ▲2 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-03-25 338Canada.com
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Alberta 51% ▲51 CPC 36% ▲36 LPC 9% ▲9 NDP 1% ▲1 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-03-25 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 49% ▲49 LPC 39% ▲39 CPC 9% ▲9 NDP 2% ▲2 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-03-25 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 47% ▲2 LPC 33% ▲1 CPC 11% NDP 5% ▲1 BQ 3% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-03-25 338Canada.com
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Male voters 42% ▲2 CPC 41% ▲2 LPC 6% ▼1 BQ 6% ▼2 NDP 1% GPC 1% ▼3 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-03-25 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 41% ▲13 CPC 38% ▼7 LPC 10% ▼5 NDP 6% ▲5 BQ 4% GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-03-25 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 44% ▲11 LPC 36% ▼6 CPC 10% ▼2 NDP 5% ▼2 BQ 2% GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-03-25 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 49% ▲1 LPC 37% ▲2 CPC 7% ▲1 NDP 5% ▼3 BQ 1% GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-03-25 338Canada.com
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Government approval 50% ▼7 Disapprove 48% ▲5 Approve 2% ▲2 Neutral/Unsure Ipsos federal poll | 2025-03-25 338Canada.com
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Ipsos Government approval tracker 48% 50%2025-03-25 43% 57%2023-09-17 42% 58%2022-09-20 46% 52%2021-09-17 45% 54%2021-09-05 46% 54%2021-08-29 45% 55%2021-08-22 51% 49%2021-08-15 50% 50%2021-07-20 52% 48%2021-06-20 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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