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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in March 2025, with a middle field date of March 16, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,500 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (March 2025), the Liberal Party climbs two points from 37% to 39% (variation similar to moe), the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party loses two points from 12% to 10% (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 39% ▲2 LPC 36% ▲1 CPC 10% ▼2 NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 4% ▼1 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-16 338Canada.com
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181 LPC 126 CPC 28 BQ 7 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 8 2 QC 36 28 13 1 ON 78 40 3 1 MB 8 6 SK 13 1 AB 32 3 2 BC 23 20 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll March 16, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 54% ▼3 LPC 26% ▲3 CPC 12% NDP 2% ▼2 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-16 338Canada.com
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Quebec 33% ▲3 LPC 29% ▼1 BQ 25% CPC 6% ▼2 NDP 3% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-16 338Canada.com
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Ontario 44% ▲1 LPC 37% ▲3 CPC 11% ▼2 NDP 5% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-16 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 48% ▲1 CPC 36% ▲4 LPC 10% ▼3 NDP 1% ▼2 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-16 338Canada.com
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Alberta 51% ▲4 CPC 19% ▼1 LPC 17% ▼3 NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-16 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 41% ▲1 LPC 40% ▲1 CPC 10% ▼3 NDP 4% GPC 4% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-16 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 39% ▲2 LPC 32% ▲2 CPC 12% ▼3 NDP 8% BQ 5% ▼1 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-16 338Canada.com
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Male voters 41% CPC 39% ▲2 LPC 8% ▼1 NDP 5% BQ 4% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-16 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 42% ▲1 CPC 35% ▲1 LPC 10% ▼2 NDP 6% BQ 4% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-16 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 36% ▲4 CPC 32% LPC 12% ▼3 NDP 10% ▲1 BQ 7% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-16 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 42% ▲3 LPC 32% CPC 11% ▼1 NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 4% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-16 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 47% ▲3 LPC 33% ▼1 CPC 9% ▼1 NDP 4% BQ 4% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-16 338Canada.com
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