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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in March 2025, with a middle field date of March 14, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,500 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (March 2025), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party remains stable at 35%, and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 12%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 38% ▼1 LPC 35% CPC 12% NDP 6% ▲1 BQ 5% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-14 338Canada.com
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181 LPC 125 CPC 28 BQ 8 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 9 1 QC 36 28 13 1 ON 78 40 3 1 MB 7 6 1 SK 13 1 AB 32 3 2 BC 23 20 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll March 14, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 55% ▼1 LPC 23% ▲1 CPC 12% ▼1 NDP 4% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-14 338Canada.com
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Quebec 31% ▼2 LPC 29% ▲5 BQ 27% CPC 8% ▼1 NDP 3% ▼1 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-14 338Canada.com
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Ontario 43% LPC 36% ▲2 CPC 13% NDP 6% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-14 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 47% CPC 32% LPC 13% ▼1 NDP 3% ▼1 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-14 338Canada.com
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Alberta 47% ▲1 CPC 21% ▼1 LPC 20% ▼1 NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-14 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 41% ▼2 LPC 38% ▼1 CPC 11% ▲3 NDP 4% PPC 3% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-14 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 37% ▼1 LPC 30% CPC 15% NDP 8% ▲1 BQ 6% ▼1 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-14 338Canada.com
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Male voters 42% ▲1 CPC 37% ▼1 LPC 9% NDP 4% BQ 4% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-14 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 41% CPC 33% ▼2 LPC 12% NDP 6% ▲1 BQ 3% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-14 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 32% ▼1 LPC 32% ▲1 CPC 15% NDP 9% BQ 8% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-14 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 40% ▼1 LPC 32% ▲1 CPC 12% NDP 7% ▲2 BQ 4% ▼2 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-14 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 45% LPC 35% CPC 9% ▼1 NDP 4% PPC 3% BQ 3% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-14 338Canada.com
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