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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in March 2025, with a middle field date of March 12, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,501 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 38% LPC 34% CPC 13% NDP 6% BQ 6% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-12 338Canada.com
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183 LPC 124 CPC 28 BQ 7 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 10 QC 36 28 13 1 ON 79 39 3 1 MB 7 7 SK 13 1 AB 32 3 2 BC 23 20 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll March 12, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies



Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 57% LPC 21% CPC 13% NDP 4% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-12 338Canada.com
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Quebec 32% LPC 26% CPC 26% BQ 10% NDP 4% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-12 338Canada.com
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Ontario 42% LPC 33% CPC 14% NDP 7% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-12 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 50% CPC 28% LPC 14% NDP 4% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-12 338Canada.com
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Alberta 47% CPC 22% NDP 20% LPC 8% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-12 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 43% LPC 38% CPC 8% NDP 5% PPC 3% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-12 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 36% LPC 30% CPC 16% NDP 7% BQ 7% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-12 338Canada.com
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Male voters 40% CPC 38% LPC 10% NDP 4% BQ 4% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-12 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 41% CPC 33% LPC 14% NDP 5% BQ 3% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-12 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 33% LPC 31% CPC 15% NDP 9% BQ 9% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-12 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 40% LPC 31% CPC 13% NDP 6% BQ 6% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-12 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 45% LPC 34% CPC 10% NDP 4% GPC 4% PPC 3% BQ Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-12 338Canada.com
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