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About this Léger federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Léger in March 2025, with a middle field date of March 1, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,548 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Léger (February 2025), the Conservative Party climbs five points from 38% to 43%, the Liberal Party loses five points from 35% to 30%, and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 43% ▲5 CPC 30% ▼5 LPC 13% ▼1 NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 4% GPC 2% PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-01 338Canada.com
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192 CPC 114 LPC 29 BQ 7 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 4 3 PEI 3 1 NS 6 5 NB 6 4 QC 34 29 14 1 ON 74 45 2 1 MB 9 4 1 SK 14 AB 34 2 1 BC 31 11 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Léger federal poll March 1, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Léger




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 37% ▼13 LPC 33% ▲4 CPC 16% ▲2 NDP 11% ▲8 GPC 1% ▼4 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-01 338Canada.com
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Quebec 29% ▼3 LPC 29% ▲4 CPC 28% ▼1 BQ 7% ▼1 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC 3% ▲2 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-01 338Canada.com
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Ontario 44% ▼2 CPC 33% ▼1 LPC 14% ▲1 NDP 4% GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-01 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 62% ▲18 CPC 17% ▼17 LPC 13% ▼1 NDP 4% GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-01 338Canada.com
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Alberta 55% ▲7 CPC 21% ▼7 LPC 12% ▼7 NDP 5% ▲3 GPC 3% PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-01 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 49% ▲20 CPC 32% ▼10 LPC 15% ▼9 NDP 3% ▼2 GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-01 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 37% ▲5 CPC 30% ▼10 LPC 18% ▲2 NDP 5% ▲2 GPC 2% PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-01 338Canada.com
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Male voters 49% ▲6 CPC 30% LPC 8% ▼5 NDP 4% GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-01 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 42% ▲2 CPC 26% ▼3 LPC 20% ▲1 NDP 7% ▲3 GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-01 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 49% ▲7 CPC 24% ▼7 LPC 10% ▼5 NDP 5% ▲2 GPC 4% ▲2 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-01 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 40% ▲6 CPC 36% ▼5 LPC 10% ▼1 NDP 3% ▼1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-01 338Canada.com
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