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About this EKOS federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by EKOS in February 2025, with a middle field date of February 21, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,239 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.8%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from EKOS (February 2025), the Liberal Party climbs four points from 34% to 38%, the Conservative Party loses two points from 39% to 37% (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party loses three points from 15% to 12%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 38% ▲4 LPC 37% ▼2 CPC 12% ▼3 NDP 4% ▼1 BQ 4% GPC 3% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-02-21 338Canada.com
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184 LPC 136 CPC 14 BQ 7 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 8 3 NB 6 4 QC 47 16 14 1 ON 78 40 3 1 MB 7 7 SK 13 1 AB 33 3 1 BC 21 20 1 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on EKOS federal poll February 21, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from EKOS




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 42% ▼8 LPC 29% ▼2 CPC 18% ▲4 NDP 6% ▲3 GPC 4% ▲1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-02-21 338Canada.com
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Quebec 40% ▲7 LPC 28% ▼2 CPC 19% ▼3 BQ 6% ▼3 NDP 4% GPC 1% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-02-21 338Canada.com
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Ontario 42% ▲4 LPC 35% ▼4 CPC 12% ▼3 NDP 5% ▲1 GPC 5% ▲2 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-02-21 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 52% ▲12 CPC 27% ▼6 LPC 16% ▼5 NDP 4% ▲3 GPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-02-21 338Canada.com
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Alberta 56% ▲3 CPC 27% ▲6 LPC 11% ▼4 NDP 4% ▼1 PPC 1% ▼2 GPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-02-21 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 38% ▲10 LPC 38% ▼6 CPC 16% ▼6 NDP 5% ▲2 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-02-21 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 48% ▲6 LPC 25% ▼6 CPC 15% ▼2 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC 3% ▼1 BQ 2% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-02-21 338Canada.com
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Male voters 48% ▲1 CPC 30% ▲5 LPC 8% ▼5 NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 4% GPC 4% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-02-21 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 41% ▲4 CPC 21% ▼5 LPC 20% ▼5 NDP 7% ▲3 PPC 6% ▲2 GPC 3% ▼1 BQ EKOS federal poll | 2025-02-21 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 40% CPC 34% ▲6 LPC 14% ▼1 NDP 6% ▲1 GPC 3% ▼4 BQ 2% ▼1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-02-21 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 48% ▲13 LPC 38% ▼6 CPC 5% BQ 4% ▲2 GPC 3% ▼8 NDP 2% ▼1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-02-21 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 53% ▲5 LPC 29% ▼4 CPC 9% ▲1 NDP 6% ▲1 BQ 2% ▼1 GPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-02-21 338Canada.com
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