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About this Research Co. federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Research Co. in January 2025, with a middle field date of January 4, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,002 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Research Co. (August 2024), the Conservative Party climbs seven points from 40% to 47%, the Liberal Party loses four points from 25% to 21%, and the New Democratic Party loses two points from 17% to 15% (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 47% ▲7 CPC 21% ▼4 LPC 15% ▼2 NDP 10% ▲1 BQ 3% ▼3 GPC 2% PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2025-01-04 338Canada.com
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253 CPC 43 BQ 29 LPC 17 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 10 1 NB 9 1 QC 43 17 16 2 ON 106 9 6 1 MB 11 2 1 SK 14 AB 35 1 1 BC 39 3 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Research Co. federal poll January 4, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Research Co.




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 58% ▲7 CPC 23% ▼7 LPC 14% ▲4 NDP 3% ▼2 GPC 2% PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2025-01-04 338Canada.com
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Quebec 37% ▲4 BQ 29% ▲8 CPC 21% ▼7 LPC 8% ▼1 NDP 2% ▼3 GPC 2% PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2025-01-04 338Canada.com
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Ontario 51% ▲12 CPC 23% ▼6 LPC 15% ▼4 NDP 5% ▼4 GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2025-01-04 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 57% ▲17 CPC 24% ▼4 NDP 15% ▼8 LPC 3% ▼3 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2025-01-04 338Canada.com
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Alberta 56% ▲1 CPC 20% NDP 19% ▲2 LPC 3% PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Research Co. federal poll | 2025-01-04 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 54% ▲4 CPC 22% ▲1 LPC 18% ▼1 NDP 6% ▼2 GPC 1% PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2025-01-04 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 47% ▲11 CPC 21% ▼3 LPC 17% ▼5 NDP 9% ▼1 BQ 4% ▼1 GPC 2% PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2025-01-04 338Canada.com
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Male voters 47% ▲2 CPC 22% ▼3 LPC 13% NDP 12% ▲4 BQ 3% ▼3 GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2025-01-04 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 47% ▲12 CPC 22% ▼4 LPC 15% ▼3 NDP 7% ▼1 BQ 5% ▼4 GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2025-01-04 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 51% ▲9 CPC 17% ▼6 LPC 15% ▼4 NDP 10% ▲4 BQ 2% ▼4 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2025-01-04 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 42% ▼3 CPC 27% ▲2 LPC 13% BQ 13% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2025-01-04 338Canada.com
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Government approval 63% ▲1 Disapprove 34% Approve 3% ▼1 Neutral/Unsure Research Co. federal poll | 2025-01-04 338Canada.com
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Research Co. Government approval tracker 34% 63%2025-01-04 34% 62%2024-08-13 39% 58%2023-11-26 41% 54%2023-09-03 46% 48%2023-02-26 44% 51%2022-10-25 42% 53%2021-09-19 43% 50%2021-09-12 45% 51%2021-08-29 50% 42%2021-06-13 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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