logo
Canada

About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in December 2024, with a middle field date of December 2, 2024. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=2,720 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±1.9%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (November 2024), the Conservative Party is up one point (variation similar to moe), the Liberal Party remains stable at 21%, and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% ▲1 CPC 21% LPC 20% ▼1 NDP 7% ▼1 BQ 5% ▲1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-12-02 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!

228 CPC 42 LPC 41 BQ 30 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 1 1 PEI 4 NS 9 2 NB 8 2 QC 41 19 16 2 ON 99 14 8 1 MB 7 4 3 SK 13 1 AB 36 1 BC 30 10 2 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Abacus Data federal poll December 2, 2024 🍁
✓ Copied!
Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 47% ▲7 CPC 28% ▼1 LPC 23% ▼2 NDP 2% ▼3 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-12-02 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Quebec 32% ▼4 BQ 27% ▲4 CPC 23% ▲3 LPC 10% ▼2 NDP 6% ▲1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-12-02 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Ontario 48% ▲1 CPC 24% LPC 19% ▼1 NDP 5% ▲2 GPC 4% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-12-02 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 50% ▼5 CPC 29% ▲5 NDP 17% LPC 5% ▲4 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-12-02 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Alberta 63% ▲3 CPC 21% ▼1 NDP 13% LPC 2% ▲2 PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-12-02 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
British Columbia 43% ▲1 CPC 31% ▼2 NDP 16% ▲1 LPC 7% ▼3 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-12-02 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 42% ▲2 CPC 22% LPC 22% ▼1 NDP 7% BQ 4% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-12-02 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Male voters 48% ▲3 CPC 20% ▲1 LPC 18% NDP 7% ▼2 BQ 6% ▲2 GPC 3% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-12-02 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 40% ▲3 CPC 26% ▼1 NDP 21% ▲1 LPC 7% ▲1 GPC 4% ▼2 BQ 2% ▼2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-12-02 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
30-44 years old 43% ▼5 CPC 24% ▲1 NDP 18% ▲3 LPC 6% ▼1 BQ 6% ▲2 GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-12-02 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!

45-59 years old 51% ▲9 CPC 18% ▼3 LPC 17% ▼1 NDP 6% ▼2 BQ 4% ▼1 GPC 3% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-12-02 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
60+ years old 43% CPC 25% LPC 15% ▲1 NDP 11% ▲1 BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-12-02 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!



Government approval 61% Disapprove 24% ▼1 Approve 15% ▲1 Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-12-02 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 24% 61%2024-12-02 25% 61%2024-11-17 25% 62%2024-11-03 24% 61%2024-10-20 26% 59%2024-10-07 25% 59%2024-09-22 24% 62%2024-09-09 27% 57%2024-08-04 25% 59%2024-07-19 26% 60%2024-07-07 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
✓ Copied!




Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading…


P#636