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About this Angus Reid federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by The Angus Reid Institute in September 2024, with a middle field date of September 15, 2024. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=3,985 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±1.6%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Angus Reid (September 2024), the Conservative Party remains stable at 43%, the Liberal Party remains stable at 21%, and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


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Canada 43% CPC 21% LPC 20% ▲1 NDP 10% BQ 4% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Angus Reid federal poll | 2024-09-15 338Canada.com
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212 CPC 62 LPC 45 BQ 22 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 7 4 NB 6 4 QC 45 21 10 2 ON 89 25 7 1 MB 7 4 3 SK 14 AB 36 1 BC 34 6 2 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Angus Reid federal poll September 15, 2024 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Angus Reid




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 42% ▼4 CPC 33% ▲10 LPC 18% ▼3 NDP 4% ▼4 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Angus Reid federal poll | 2024-09-15 338Canada.com
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Quebec 40% ▼2 BQ 24% CPC 20% ▼1 LPC 11% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲2 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Angus Reid federal poll | 2024-09-15 338Canada.com
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Ontario 45% ▼3 CPC 27% ▲4 LPC 20% NDP 4% ▼2 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Angus Reid federal poll | 2024-09-15 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 57% ▲1 CPC 27% ▼1 NDP 12% ▼2 LPC 1% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Angus Reid federal poll | 2024-09-15 338Canada.com
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Alberta 62% ▼2 CPC 23% ▲2 NDP 12% LPC 1% ▼1 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Angus Reid federal poll | 2024-09-15 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 47% ▲8 CPC 28% NDP 16% ▼7 LPC 7% ▼2 GPC Angus Reid federal poll | 2024-09-15 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 37% ▲1 CPC 23% LPC 23% ▼2 NDP 10% BQ 5% ▲1 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Angus Reid federal poll | 2024-09-15 338Canada.com
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Male voters 49% ▼1 CPC 20% ▲2 LPC 16% ▲2 NDP 9% ▼1 BQ 3% ▼2 GPC 1% PPC Angus Reid federal poll | 2024-09-15 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 35% ▼1 CPC 34% ▼6 NDP 17% ▲6 LPC 7% BQ 6% ▲1 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Angus Reid federal poll | 2024-09-15 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 46% ▼1 CPC 22% ▲2 NDP 18% LPC 7% ▲1 BQ 3% ▼4 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Angus Reid federal poll | 2024-09-15 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 44% ▲1 CPC 24% ▼2 LPC 13% ▼1 BQ 12% ▲1 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC Angus Reid federal poll | 2024-09-15 338Canada.com
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