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About this Léger federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Léger in May 2024, with a middle field date of May 25, 2024. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,620 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.4%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Léger (April 2024), the Conservative Party loses two points from 44% to 42% (variation similar to moe), the Liberal Party remains stable at 23%, and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 42% ▼2 CPC 23% LPC 18% ▲1 NDP 6% ▼2 BQ 5% GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-05-25 338Canada.com
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212 CPC 64 LPC 35 BQ 30 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 6 1 PEI 4 NS 9 2 NB 8 2 QC 35 28 14 1 ON 81 23 17 1 MB 7 4 3 SK 13 1 AB 34 2 1 BC 35 5 2 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Léger federal poll May 25, 2024 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Léger




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 50% ▲6 CPC 29% ▼5 LPC 16% ▼1 NDP 2% ▼1 PPC 1% GPC Léger federal poll | 2024-05-25 338Canada.com
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Quebec 29% ▲7 CPC 29% ▼5 BQ 26% ▼4 LPC 8% NDP 5% ▲1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-05-25 338Canada.com
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Ontario 42% ▼5 CPC 24% ▼1 LPC 22% ▲3 NDP 7% GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-05-25 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 57% ▲7 CPC 22% ▲6 LPC 16% ▼3 NDP 4% ▼2 GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-05-25 338Canada.com
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Alberta 56% ▼15 CPC 21% ▲8 NDP 17% ▲4 LPC 5% ▲4 PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2024-05-25 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 46% ▼4 CPC 23% ▼4 NDP 20% ▲5 LPC 7% ▲1 GPC 4% ▲2 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-05-25 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 39% ▼3 CPC 25% ▲1 LPC 22% ▲3 NDP 5% GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-05-25 338Canada.com
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Male voters 46% ▼1 CPC 22% LPC 15% ▲1 NDP 5% GPC 4% ▲2 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-05-25 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 36% ▼10 CPC 29% ▲9 NDP 14% ▼3 LPC 9% ▲1 GPC 7% ▲4 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-05-25 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 46% ▲3 CPC 23% ▲3 LPC 18% ▼3 NDP 4% ▼1 GPC 3% PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-05-25 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 43% ▼2 CPC 29% LPC 13% ▲1 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-05-25 338Canada.com
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Government satisfaction 66% ▼3 Dissatisfied 27% ▲2 Satisfied 7% ▲1 Neutral/Unsure Léger federal poll | 2024-05-25 338Canada.com
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Léger Government satisfaction tracker 27% 66%2024-05-25 25% 69%2024-04-27 28% 66%2024-03-24 29% 66%2024-02-24 30% 63%2024-01-27 29% 64%2023-11-25 30% 63%2023-10-28 33% 60%2023-09-23 34% 59%2023-08-26 38% 55%2023-05-28 ◻︎Satisfied ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Dissatisfied
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