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About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in January 2024, with a middle field date of January 7, 2024. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,500 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (December 2023), the Conservative Party climbs four points from 37% to 41%, the Liberal Party loses three points from 27% to 24%, and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 41% ▲4 CPC 24% ▼3 LPC 18% ▼1 NDP 7% BQ 5% ▲1 PPC 4% ▼1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-07 338Canada.com

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 43% ▲3 CPC 31% ▼1 LPC 18% ▼6 NDP 4% ▲2 GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-07 338Canada.com
Quebec 33% BQ 27% ▼1 LPC 22% ▲1 CPC 10% ▲2 NDP 4% ▼2 GPC 3% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-07 338Canada.com
Ontario 41% ▲2 CPC 29% ▼1 LPC 20% NDP 6% ▲1 PPC 5% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-07 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 57% ▲10 CPC 23% ▼5 NDP 13% ▼5 LPC 6% ▲3 PPC 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-07 338Canada.com
Alberta 62% ▲9 CPC 18% ▼3 NDP 13% ▼4 LPC 4% ▼3 PPC 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-07 338Canada.com
British Columbia 43% ▲7 CPC 26% NDP 19% ▼6 LPC 8% ▲1 GPC 4% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-07 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 37% ▼1 CPC 25% ▼2 LPC 24% ▲4 NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 4% ▼1 GPC 3% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-07 338Canada.com
Male voters 44% ▲7 CPC 23% ▼4 LPC 14% ▼4 NDP 8% BQ 6% ▲1 PPC 4% ▼1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-07 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 32% ▲8 CPC 28% ▲3 NDP 18% ▼14 LPC 9% ▲5 PPC 7% ▼3 GPC 5% ▲2 BQ Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-07 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 44% ▲3 CPC 22% NDP 20% ▼4 LPC 6% ▲1 BQ 4% PPC 3% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-07 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 43% ▲5 CPC 25% ▼1 LPC 15% ▼2 NDP 10% ▲1 BQ 5% GPC 3% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-07 338Canada.com
60+ years old 42% ▲1 CPC 30% ▲3 LPC 13% ▼2 NDP 7% ▼2 BQ 4% ▼1 PPC 3% ▲1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-07 338Canada.com



Government approval 58% ▲2 Disapprove 26% ▼2 Approve 16% Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-07 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 26% 58%2024-01-07 28% 56%2023-12-10 27% 57%2023-11-26 26% 58%2023-11-18 26% 58%2023-11-11 30% 55%2023-10-30 27% 55%2023-10-02 29% 57%2023-09-10 31% 53%2023-09-02 31% 52%2023-08-21 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove




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