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About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in October 2023, with a middle field date of October 2, 2023. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,985 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.2%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (September 2023), the Conservative Party loses two points from 41% to 39% (variation similar to moe), the Liberal Party remains stable at 26%, and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 18%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 39% ▼2 CPC 26% LPC 18% NDP 7% ▼1 BQ 5% ▲2 PPC 4% ▲1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2023-10-02 338Canada.com

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 42% ▼1 CPC 31% ▼1 LPC 20% ▲2 NDP 4% GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2023-10-02 338Canada.com
Quebec 33% ▼3 BQ 27% ▼1 LPC 22% ▲2 CPC 9% ▲1 NDP 5% ▲1 GPC 3% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2023-10-02 338Canada.com
Ontario 41% ▲2 CPC 30% ▼3 LPC 18% ▼3 NDP 6% ▲2 PPC 4% ▲1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2023-10-02 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 50% ▼13 CPC 34% ▲13 NDP 14% ▲1 LPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2023-10-02 338Canada.com
Alberta 58% ▼2 CPC 18% ▼5 NDP 15% ▲4 LPC 7% ▲5 PPC 2% ▲1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2023-10-02 338Canada.com
British Columbia 39% ▼13 CPC 26% ▲8 LPC 25% ▲3 NDP 6% ▲2 GPC 5% ▲3 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2023-10-02 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 38% ▲3 CPC 29% ▲2 LPC 19% ▼4 NDP 6% ▼2 BQ 4% GPC 4% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2023-10-02 338Canada.com
Male voters 40% ▼7 CPC 24% ▼1 LPC 17% ▲2 NDP 9% ▲1 BQ 5% ▲2 PPC 4% ▲2 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2023-10-02 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 31% ▼6 CPC 24% ▼3 NDP 22% LPC 8% ▲3 PPC 7% ▲4 BQ 6% ▲3 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2023-10-02 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 38% ▼2 CPC 27% ▲5 LPC 22% ▼2 NDP 5% ▼3 BQ 4% ▲2 GPC 4% ▲2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2023-10-02 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 45% CPC 23% ▼2 LPC 15% ▲1 NDP 7% ▲4 PPC 6% ▼2 BQ 4% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2023-10-02 338Canada.com
60+ years old 40% ▼1 CPC 31% ▼1 LPC 14% ▲2 NDP 10% BQ 3% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2023-10-02 338Canada.com



Government approval 55% ▼2 Disapprove 27% ▼2 Approve 18% ▲4 Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2023-10-02 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 27% 55%2023-10-02 29% 57%2023-09-10 31% 53%2023-09-02 31% 52%2023-08-21 32% 51%2023-07-23 35% 50%2023-06-25 35% 48%2023-06-09 34% 49%2023-05-01 33% 49%2023-03-19 34% 50%2023-03-09 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove




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