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Ontario

About this Ontario poll from Abacus Data


This Ontario poll was fielded by Abacus Data in April 2026, with a middle field date of April 19, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Ontario respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (April 2026), the Ontario PC Party loses two points from 39% to 37% (variation smaller than moe), the Ontario Liberal Party climbs five points from 31% to 36%, and the Ontario NDP loses four points from 21% to 17%.

You can read more information on this poll here.

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Ontario 37% ▼2 PC 36% ▲5 OLP 17% ▼4 NDP 5% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com


Breakdown by region

Toronto 43% ▲8 OLP 36% ▼1 PC 14% ▼6 NDP 4% ▼1 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
GTHA 37% ▲5 OLP 35% ▼5 PC 19% NDP 4% ▼1 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
Southwestern Ontario 41% ▲5 PC 31% ▲3 OLP 14% ▼8 NDP 8% ▲1 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com

Eastern Ontario 36% ▲8 OLP 32% ▼11 PC 15% ▼7 NDP 8% ▲6 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 41% ▲7 OLP 32% ▼1 PC 18% ▼4 NDP 4% ▼2 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
Male voters 42% ▼1 PC 31% ▲3 OLP 15% ▼4 NDP 6% ▲2 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 51% ▲11 OLP 18% ▼4 NDP 18% ▼9 PC 10% ▲4 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 40% ▲7 PC 31% ▼4 OLP 16% ▼7 NDP 5% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 43% ▲2 PC 28% ▲2 OLP 21% ▲1 NDP 3% ▼1 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
60+ years old 44% ▼3 PC 36% ▲9 OLP 12% ▼6 NDP 4% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com


Preferred Premier 36% ▲2 Ford 27% ▼7 Don't know 15% ▼3 Stiles 14% ▲6 Fraser 7% ▲1 Schreiner Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Preferred Premier tracker 14% 36% 15% 27%2026-04-19 34% 18% 34%2026-04-04 38% 17% 29%2026-03-08 39% 18% 29%2026-02-08 17% 39% 16% 24%2026-01-11 17% 45% 15% 18%2025-11-06 18% 46% 12% 19%2025-10-12 18% 46% 12% 18%2025-09-15 18% 48% 12% 18%2025-08-17 20% 46% 12% 17%2025-07-13 ◻︎Fraser ◻︎Ford ◻︎Stiles ◻︎Schreiner ◻︎Don't know 

Government approval 44% ▲4 Disapprove 35% Approve 21% ▼4 Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 35% 44%2026-04-19 35% 40%2026-04-04 36% 41%2026-03-08 35% 40%2026-02-08 41% 35%2026-01-11 42% 34%2025-11-06 42% 33%2025-10-12 47% 31%2025-09-15 48% 30%2025-08-17 44% 32%2025-07-13 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove


Impression / favourability of Doug Ford 46% ▲5 Negative / unfavourable 34% ▲1 Positive / favourable 20% ▼6 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Doug Ford 34% 46%2026-04-19 33% 41%2026-04-04 36% 41%2026-03-08 37% 42%2026-02-08 40% 36%2026-01-11 42% 37%2025-11-06 43% 35%2025-10-12 46% 33%2025-09-15 46% 32%2025-08-17 46% 33%2025-07-13 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Marit Stiles 49% ▼3 Neutral / Unsure 28% ▲1 Positive / favourable 23% ▲2 Negative / unfavourable Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Marit Stiles 28% 23%2026-04-19 27% 21%2026-04-04 26% 21%2026-03-08 29% 29%2026-02-08 29% 23%2026-01-11 31% 27%2025-11-06 26% 27%2025-10-12 28% 27%2025-09-15 27% 27%2025-08-17 28% 24%2025-07-13 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of John Fraser 55% Neutral / Unsure 24% Positive / favourable 21% Negative / unfavourable Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, John Fraser 24% 21%2026-04-19 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Mike Schreiner 56% ▼4 Neutral / Unsure 22% ▲3 Negative / unfavourable 22% ▲1 Positive / favourable Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mike Schreiner 22% 22%2026-04-19 21% 19%2026-04-04 21% 18%2026-03-08 21% 27%2026-02-08 19% 21%2025-10-12 23% 24%2025-09-15 23% 23%2025-08-17 25% 21%2025-07-13 24% 23%2025-06-04 24% 21%2025-02-25 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable


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