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Ontario

About this Ontario poll from Abacus Data


This Ontario poll was fielded by Abacus Data in April 2026, with a middle field date of April 4, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=2,185 Ontario respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (March 2026), the Ontario PC Party loses five points from 44% to 39%, the Ontario Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the Ontario NDP climbs five points from 16% to 21%.

You can read more information on this poll here.

Back to Ontario polls

Ontario 39% ▼5 PC 31% ▼1 OLP 21% ▲5 NDP 5% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-04 338Canada.com


Breakdown by region

Toronto 37% ▼4 PC 35% ▲3 OLP 20% ▲2 NDP 5% ▼1 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-04 338Canada.com
GTHA 40% ▼6 PC 32% ▼3 OLP 19% ▲4 NDP 5% ▲2 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-04 338Canada.com
Southwestern Ontario 36% ▼4 PC 28% ▼5 OLP 22% ▲5 NDP 7% ▲1 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-04 338Canada.com

Eastern Ontario 43% ▼7 PC 28% ▲2 OLP 22% ▲7 NDP 2% ▼2 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-04 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 34% OLP 33% ▼8 PC 22% ▲5 NDP 6% ▲1 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-04 338Canada.com
Male voters 43% ▼4 PC 28% ▼2 OLP 19% ▲4 NDP 4% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-04 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 40% ▼8 OLP 27% ▲1 PC 22% ▲5 NDP 6% ▼3 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-04 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 35% ▼2 OLP 33% ▼6 PC 23% ▲5 NDP 5% ▲1 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-04 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 41% ▼11 PC 26% ▲3 OLP 20% ▲3 NDP 4% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-04 338Canada.com
60+ years old 47% ▼4 PC 27% ▲1 OLP 18% ▲4 NDP 4% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-04 338Canada.com


Preferred Premier 34% ▼4 Ford 34% ▲5 Don't know 18% ▲1 Stiles 8% ▼1 Fraser 6% ▼1 Schreiner Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-04 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Preferred Premier tracker 34% 18% 34%2026-04-04 38% 17% 29%2026-03-08 39% 18% 29%2026-02-08 17% 39% 16% 24%2026-01-11 17% 45% 15% 18%2025-11-06 18% 46% 12% 19%2025-10-12 18% 46% 12% 18%2025-09-15 18% 48% 12% 18%2025-08-17 20% 46% 12% 17%2025-07-13 25% 40% 15% 14%2025-02-25 ◻︎Fraser ◻︎Ford ◻︎Stiles ◻︎Schreiner ◻︎Don't know 

Government approval 40% ▼1 Disapprove 35% ▼1 Approve 25% ▲2 Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-04 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 35% 40%2026-04-04 36% 41%2026-03-08 35% 40%2026-02-08 41% 35%2026-01-11 42% 34%2025-11-06 42% 33%2025-10-12 47% 31%2025-09-15 48% 30%2025-08-17 44% 32%2025-07-13 44% 31%2025-06-04 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove


Impression / favourability of Doug Ford 41% Negative / unfavourable 33% ▼3 Positive / favourable 26% ▲3 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-04 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Doug Ford 33% 41%2026-04-04 36% 41%2026-03-08 37% 42%2026-02-08 40% 36%2026-01-11 42% 37%2025-11-06 43% 35%2025-10-12 46% 33%2025-09-15 46% 32%2025-08-17 46% 33%2025-07-13 44% 33%2025-06-04 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Marit Stiles 52% ▼1 Neutral / Unsure 27% ▲1 Positive / favourable 21% Negative / unfavourable Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-04 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Marit Stiles 27% 21%2026-04-04 26% 21%2026-03-08 29% 29%2026-02-08 29% 23%2026-01-11 31% 27%2025-11-06 26% 27%2025-10-12 28% 27%2025-09-15 27% 27%2025-08-17 28% 24%2025-07-13 28% 25%2025-06-04 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Mike Schreiner 60% ▼1 Neutral / Unsure 21% Positive / favourable 19% ▲1 Negative / unfavourable Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-04-04 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mike Schreiner 21% 19%2026-04-04 21% 18%2026-03-08 21% 27%2026-02-08 19% 21%2025-10-12 23% 24%2025-09-15 23% 23%2025-08-17 25% 21%2025-07-13 24% 23%2025-06-04 24% 21%2025-02-25 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable


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