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Ontario

About this Ontario poll from Abacus Data


This Ontario poll was fielded by Abacus Data in March 2026, with a middle field date of March 8, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Ontario respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (February 2026), the Ontario PC Party remains stable at 44%, the Ontario Liberal Party climbs two points from 30% to 32% (variation smaller than moe), and the Ontario NDP remains stable at 16%.

You can read more information on this poll here.

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Ontario 44% PC 32% ▲2 OLP 16% NDP 5% ▼1 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com


Breakdown by region

Toronto 41% ▲8 PC 32% ▼10 OLP 18% ▲3 NDP 6% ▼1 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com
GTHA 46% ▼8 PC 35% ▲9 OLP 15% ▲2 NDP 3% ▼1 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com
Southwestern Ontario 40% ▲1 PC 33% ▲2 OLP 17% ▼1 NDP 6% ▼3 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com

Eastern Ontario 50% ▲7 PC 26% ▼3 OLP 15% ▼6 NDP 4% ▲1 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 41% ▼1 PC 34% ▼1 OLP 17% ▲4 NDP 5% ▼1 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com
Male voters 47% ▲1 PC 30% ▲4 OLP 15% ▼4 NDP 4% ▼2 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 48% ▼4 OLP 26% ▲7 PC 17% ▼1 NDP 9% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 39% ▼3 PC 37% ▲5 OLP 18% ▲1 NDP 4% ▼2 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 52% ▼6 PC 23% ▲7 OLP 17% ▲1 NDP 4% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com
60+ years old 51% PC 26% ▲1 OLP 14% NDP 4% ▼1 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com


Preferred Premier 38% ▼1 Ford 29% Don't know 17% ▼1 Stiles 9% ▲2 Fraser 7% ▲3 Schreiner Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Preferred Premier tracker 38% 17% 29%2026-03-08 39% 18% 29%2026-02-08 17% 39% 16% 24%2026-01-11 17% 45% 15% 18%2025-11-06 18% 46% 12% 19%2025-10-12 18% 46% 12% 18%2025-09-15 18% 48% 12% 18%2025-08-17 20% 46% 12% 17%2025-07-13 25% 40% 15% 14%2025-02-25 ◻︎Fraser ◻︎Ford ◻︎Stiles ◻︎Schreiner ◻︎Don't know 

Government approval 41% ▲1 Disapprove 36% ▲1 Approve 23% ▼2 Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 36% 41%2026-03-08 35% 40%2026-02-08 41% 35%2026-01-11 42% 34%2025-11-06 42% 33%2025-10-12 47% 31%2025-09-15 48% 30%2025-08-17 44% 32%2025-07-13 44% 31%2025-06-04 41% 42%2025-02-25 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove


Impression / favourability of Doug Ford 41% ▼1 Negative / unfavourable 36% ▼1 Positive / favourable 23% ▲2 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Doug Ford 36% 41%2026-03-08 37% 42%2026-02-08 40% 36%2026-01-11 42% 37%2025-11-06 43% 35%2025-10-12 46% 33%2025-09-15 46% 32%2025-08-17 46% 33%2025-07-13 44% 33%2025-06-04 41% 40%2025-02-25 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Marit Stiles 53% ▲11 Neutral / Unsure 26% ▼3 Positive / favourable 21% ▼8 Negative / unfavourable Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Marit Stiles 26% 21%2026-03-08 29% 29%2026-02-08 29% 23%2026-01-11 31% 27%2025-11-06 26% 27%2025-10-12 28% 27%2025-09-15 27% 27%2025-08-17 28% 24%2025-07-13 28% 25%2025-06-04 33% 24%2025-02-25 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Mike Schreiner 61% ▲9 Neutral / Unsure 21% Positive / favourable 18% ▼9 Negative / unfavourable Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mike Schreiner 21% 18%2026-03-08 21% 27%2026-02-08 19% 21%2025-10-12 23% 24%2025-09-15 23% 23%2025-08-17 25% 21%2025-07-13 24% 23%2025-06-04 24% 21%2025-02-25 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable


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