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About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in January 2024, with a middle field date of January 21, 2024. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=2,199 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (January 2024), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party climbs two points from 18% to 20% (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 40% ▼1 CPC 25% ▲1 LPC 20% ▲2 NDP 8% ▲1 BQ 5% ▲1 GPC 3% ▼2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-21 338Canada.com

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 43% CPC 33% ▲2 LPC 19% ▲1 NDP 3% ▼1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-21 338Canada.com
Quebec 35% ▲2 BQ 30% ▲3 LPC 17% ▼5 CPC 10% NDP 7% ▲3 GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-21 338Canada.com
Ontario 43% ▲2 CPC 29% LPC 19% ▼1 NDP 5% ▼1 PPC 4% ▼1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-21 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 54% ▼3 CPC 27% ▲4 NDP 12% ▼1 LPC 5% ▲3 GPC 3% ▼3 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-21 338Canada.com
Alberta 61% ▼1 CPC 22% ▲4 NDP 12% ▼1 LPC 4% PPC 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-21 338Canada.com
British Columbia 40% ▼3 CPC 32% ▲6 NDP 21% ▲2 LPC 5% ▼3 GPC 1% ▼3 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-21 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 37% CPC 25% LPC 23% ▼1 NDP 8% ▲4 GPC 4% ▼2 BQ 2% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-21 338Canada.com
Male voters 43% ▼1 CPC 25% ▲2 LPC 16% ▲2 NDP 7% ▲3 GPC 5% ▼3 BQ 3% ▼3 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-21 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 34% ▲2 CPC 28% NDP 21% ▲3 LPC 7% GPC 6% ▲1 BQ 5% ▼4 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-21 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 37% ▼7 CPC 24% ▲4 LPC 24% ▲2 NDP 8% ▲2 BQ 4% ▲1 GPC 3% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-21 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 41% ▼2 CPC 24% ▼1 LPC 17% ▲2 NDP 9% ▼1 BQ 6% ▲1 GPC 3% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-21 338Canada.com
60+ years old 44% ▲2 CPC 29% ▼1 LPC 13% NDP 8% ▲1 BQ 3% GPC 2% ▼2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-21 338Canada.com



Government approval 58% Disapprove 28% ▲2 Approve 14% ▼2 Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2024-01-21 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 28% 58%2024-01-21 26% 58%2024-01-07 28% 56%2023-12-10 27% 57%2023-11-26 26% 58%2023-11-18 26% 58%2023-11-11 30% 55%2023-10-30 27% 55%2023-10-02 29% 57%2023-09-10 31% 53%2023-09-02 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove




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