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About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in September 2021, with a middle field date of September 18, 2021. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=2,431 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.0%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (September 2021), the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party loses two points from 21% to 19% (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 32% ▲1 CPC 31% ▼1 LPC 19% ▼2 NDP 7% ▲1 BQ 6% PPC 4% ▲1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2021-09-18 338Canada.com

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 41% ▼8 LPC 24% ▲6 CPC 21% ▼1 NDP 7% ▲6 GPC 5% ▼5 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2021-09-18 338Canada.com
Quebec 31% ▼1 LPC 30% ▲2 BQ 18% ▲2 CPC 10% ▼7 NDP 6% ▲1 PPC 4% ▲3 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2021-09-18 338Canada.com
Ontario 40% LPC 32% ▼1 CPC 18% ▼2 NDP 6% ▲1 PPC 3% ▲2 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2021-09-18 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 40% ▲5 CPC 27% ▲12 NDP 21% ▲3 LPC 8% ▼10 PPC 3% ▼7 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2021-09-18 338Canada.com
Alberta 51% ▼3 CPC 22% ▼4 NDP 14% LPC 6% ▲1 PPC 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2021-09-18 338Canada.com
British Columbia 35% ▼1 CPC 32% ▼1 NDP 23% ▲3 LPC 6% ▼2 GPC 3% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2021-09-18 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 33% ▲1 LPC 29% ▲4 CPC 23% ▼2 NDP 6% BQ 4% ▼4 PPC 3% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2021-09-18 338Canada.com
Male voters 34% ▼2 CPC 30% ▼1 LPC 16% ▼3 NDP 7% BQ 7% ▲3 PPC 5% ▲2 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2021-09-18 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 31% ▼7 LPC 27% ▲10 CPC 24% ▼10 NDP 8% ▲8 GPC 6% ▼5 PPC 5% ▲5 BQ Abacus Data federal poll | 2021-09-18 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 32% ▲3 LPC 30% ▲5 CPC 22% ▼9 NDP 8% PPC 5% ▲2 BQ 2% ▼1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2021-09-18 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 31% ▲2 LPC 31% ▼4 CPC 16% ▲2 NDP 8% ▼2 BQ 8% ▲3 PPC 2% ▼2 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2021-09-18 338Canada.com
60+ years old 36% ▲1 CPC 32% ▼1 LPC 17% ▼1 NDP 7% ▼1 BQ 4% ▲2 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2021-09-18 338Canada.com


Preferred PM 35% ▼2 Trudeau 32% O’Toole 22% ▼2 Singh 7% ▲2 Bernier 3% ▲1 Paul Abacus Data federal poll | 2021-09-18 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Preferred PM tracker 35% 32%2021-09-18 37% 32%2021-09-05 36% 32%2021-08-27 30% 20%2021-06-13 33% 18%2021-05-27 ◻︎Trudeau ◻︎Others ◻︎Don’t know ◻︎O’Toole

Government approval 44% ▲3 Approve 41% ▼1 Disapprove 15% ▼2 Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2021-09-18 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 44% 41%2021-09-18 41% 42%2021-08-20 44% 41%2021-08-14 45% 37%2021-08-09 43% 39%2021-07-31 46% 39%2021-06-29 44% 38%2021-06-20 40% 40%2021-06-13 43% 40%2021-05-27 41% 41%2021-05-10 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove




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