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Ontario

About this Ontario poll from Liaison Strategies


This Ontario poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in September 2026, with a middle field date of September 17, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,600 Ontario respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (August 2026), the Ontario PC Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Ontario Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the Ontario NDP is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.

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Ontario 40% ▲1 PC 34% ▼1 OLP 21% ▲1 NDP 2% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-09-17 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by region

Toronto 44% OLP 27% ▼2 PC 26% ▲4 NDP 2% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-09-17 338Canada.com
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GTA 43% ▲2 PC 34% ▼4 OLP 17% ▲1 NDP 2% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-09-17 338Canada.com
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Central Ontario 35% ▲7 OLP 35% ▼12 PC 25% ▲5 NDP 4% ▲1 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-09-17 338Canada.com
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Southwestern Ontario 47% ▲5 PC 26% ▼3 OLP 23% ▼1 NDP 2% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-09-17 338Canada.com
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Eastern Ontario 43% ▲4 PC 37% ▲1 OLP 16% ▼2 NDP 1% ▼2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-09-17 338Canada.com
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North 45% ▲3 PC 30% ▲3 NDP 21% ▼6 OLP Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-09-17 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 38% ▼3 OLP 36% ▲3 PC 23% NDP 1% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-09-17 338Canada.com
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Male voters 44% ▼2 PC 31% ▲1 OLP 20% ▲4 NDP 2% ▼2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-09-17 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 41% ▲5 PC 32% ▼5 OLP 25% ▲1 NDP 2% ▼1 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-09-17 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 38% ▼4 OLP 34% ▲1 PC 23% ▲5 NDP 2% ▼1 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-09-17 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 43% ▲1 PC 34% ▲2 OLP 17% ▼2 NDP 1% ▼2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-09-17 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 42% ▼3 PC 33% ▲3 OLP 19% ▼1 NDP 2% ▲1 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-09-17 338Canada.com
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Government approval 59% ▼2 Disapprove 38% ▲2 Approve 3% Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-09-17 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 38% 59%2026-09-17 36% 61%2026-08-24 24% 72%2026-07-21 26% 69%2026-06-14 28% 67%2026-05-16 27% 68%2026-04-26 31% 65%2026-03-28 30% 66%2026-02-21 31% 65%2026-01-20 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Marit Stiles 42% Neutral / Unsure 31% Positive / favourable 27% Negative / unfavourable Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-09-17 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Marit Stiles 31% 27%2026-09-17 29% 26%2025-05-07 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Mike Schreiner 52% Neutral / Unsure 27% Positive / favourable 21% Negative / unfavourable Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-09-17 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Mike Schreiner 27% 21%2026-09-17 21% 17%2025-05-07 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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