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Ontario

About this Ontario poll from Liaison Strategies


This Ontario poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in July 2026, with a middle field date of July 21, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Ontario respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (June 2026), the Ontario Liberal Party remains stable at 38%, the Ontario PC Party loses two points from 35% to 33% (variation smaller than moe), and the Ontario NDP climbs two points from 22% to 24% (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.

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Ontario 38% OLP 33% ▼2 PC 24% ▲2 NDP 2% ▼2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-07-21 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by region

Toronto 46% OLP 25% ▼2 PC 24% ▲1 NDP 1% ▼3 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-07-21 338Canada.com
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GTA 40% ▼1 OLP 40% PC 16% ▲1 NDP 1% ▼2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-07-21 338Canada.com
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Central Ontario 46% ▲9 NDP 31% OLP 17% ▼8 PC 2% ▼3 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-07-21 338Canada.com
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Southwestern Ontario 37% ▼1 PC 36% OLP 21% ▲1 NDP 5% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-07-21 338Canada.com
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Eastern Ontario 42% ▼1 PC 35% ▲1 OLP 17% ▼1 NDP 2% ▼2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-07-21 338Canada.com
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North 55% ▲9 NDP 27% ▼3 OLP 15% ▼5 PC Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-07-21 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 43% ▲1 OLP 30% ▼3 PC 23% ▲2 NDP 2% ▼2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-07-21 338Canada.com
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Male voters 38% ▼1 PC 32% OLP 24% ▲1 NDP 3% ▼2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-07-21 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 36% OLP 27% ▼4 PC 25% ▲3 NDP 6% ▼3 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-07-21 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 43% OLP 29% PC 24% NDP 1% ▼2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-07-21 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 38% ▼2 PC 36% OLP 24% ▲2 NDP Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-07-21 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 39% ▼1 PC 38% OLP 22% ▲1 NDP Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-07-21 338Canada.com
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Government approval 72% ▲3 Disapprove 24% ▼2 Approve 4% ▼1 Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-07-21 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 24% 72%2026-07-21 26% 69%2026-06-14 28% 67%2026-05-16 27% 68%2026-04-26 31% 65%2026-03-28 30% 66%2026-02-21 31% 65%2026-01-20 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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