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Ontario

About this Ontario poll from Liaison Strategies


This Ontario poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in May 2026, with a middle field date of May 16, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Ontario respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (April 2026), the Ontario Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Ontario PC Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the Ontario NDP remains stable at 20%.

You can read more information on this poll here.

Back to Ontario polls

Ontario 37% ▼1 OLP 37% ▲1 PC 20% NDP 4% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-05-16 338Canada.com


Breakdown by region

Toronto 44% OLP 29% ▲1 PC 21% ▼1 NDP 4% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-05-16 338Canada.com
GTA 43% OLP 38% ▲1 PC 13% ▼2 NDP 3% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-05-16 338Canada.com
Central Ontario 35% ▼1 NDP 29% ▲3 PC 28% ▼3 OLP 5% ▲1 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-05-16 338Canada.com

Southwestern Ontario 41% ▲1 PC 33% ▼2 OLP 18% NDP 5% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-05-16 338Canada.com
Eastern Ontario 48% ▲3 PC 30% ▼4 OLP 16% ▲2 NDP 4% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-05-16 338Canada.com
North 44% ▲7 NDP 29% ▲6 OLP 22% ▼11 PC 4% ▼1 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-05-16 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 42% OLP 34% PC 19% NDP 4% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-05-16 338Canada.com
Male voters 42% ▲3 PC 31% ▼2 OLP 21% NDP 5% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-05-16 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 36% OLP 32% ▲1 PC 19% NDP 10% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-05-16 338Canada.com
35-49 years old 41% ▲1 OLP 32% ▼1 PC 22% NDP 3% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-05-16 338Canada.com

50-64 years old 41% ▲3 PC 36% ▼2 OLP 20% NDP 2% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-05-16 338Canada.com
65+ years old 43% ▲2 PC 36% ▼1 OLP 19% NDP 1% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-05-16 338Canada.com



Government approval 67% ▼1 Disapprove 28% ▲1 Approve 5% Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-05-16 338Canada.com
Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 28% 67%2026-05-16 27% 68%2026-04-26 31% 65%2026-03-28 30% 66%2026-02-21 31% 65%2026-01-20 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove



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