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Ontario

About this Ontario poll from Léger


This Ontario poll was fielded by Léger in May 2026, with a middle field date of May 10, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,003 Ontario respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Léger (October 2025), the Ontario PC Party loses five points from 44% to 39%, the Ontario Liberal Party climbs two points from 32% to 34% (variation smaller than moe), and the Ontario NDP climbs four points from 13% to 17%.

You can read more information on this poll here.

Back to Ontario polls

Ontario 39% ▼5 PC 34% ▲2 OLP 17% ▲4 NDP 6% ▼1 GPO Léger Ontario poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com


Breakdown by region

Toronto 38% OLP 37% ▼3 PC 14% ▲1 NDP 5% ▼2 GPO Léger Ontario poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com
GTA 49% ▲6 PC 31% ▼7 OLP 11% NDP 4% ▼2 GPO Léger Ontario poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com
Hamilton-Niagara 33% ▼14 PC 28% ▲11 NDP 28% ▲6 OLP 6% ▼3 GPO Léger Ontario poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com

Southwestern Ontario 40% ▼4 PC 29% ▲3 OLP 21% ▲6 NDP 8% ▼4 GPO Léger Ontario poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com
Eastern Ontario 40% ▼3 PC 38% ▲1 OLP 12% ▼5 NDP 5% ▲3 GPO Léger Ontario poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com
North 40% ▼18 PC 32% ▲6 OLP 21% ▲14 NDP 6% ▲5 GPO Léger Ontario poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 37% ▼6 PC 34% ▲1 OLP 18% ▲3 NDP 7% GPO Léger Ontario poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com
Male voters 42% ▼3 PC 34% ▲2 OLP 16% ▲4 NDP 5% ▼2 GPO Léger Ontario poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 41% ▲6 OLP 26% ▼13 PC 21% ▲8 NDP 8% ▼3 GPO Léger Ontario poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com
35-54 years old 44% ▼1 PC 26% OLP 16% ▼1 NDP 7% GPO Léger Ontario poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com
55+ years old 45% ▼3 PC 34% ▼1 OLP 14% ▲3 NDP 4% ▼1 GPO Léger Ontario poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com





Impression / favourability of Doug Ford 59% ▲17 Negative / unfavourable 33% ▼12 Positive / favourable 8% ▼5 Neutral / Unsure Léger Ontario poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Doug Ford 33% 59%2026-05-10 45% 42%2025-10-16 47% 42%2025-05-24 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Marit Stiles 45% ▲10 Neutral / Unsure 31% ▲1 Positive / favourable 24% ▼11 Negative / unfavourable Léger Ontario poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Marit Stiles 31% 24%2026-05-10 30% 35%2025-10-16 33% 33%2025-05-24 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Mike Schreiner 53% ▲11 Neutral / Unsure 25% ▼1 Positive / favourable 22% ▼10 Negative / unfavourable Léger Ontario poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mike Schreiner 25% 22%2026-05-10 26% 32%2025-10-16 28% 32%2025-05-24 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable


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