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Ontario

About this Ontario poll from Ipsos


This Ontario poll was fielded by Ipsos in March 2026, with a middle field date of March 11, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=801 Ontario respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Ipsos (February 2025), the Ontario PC Party loses six points from 48% to 42%, the Ontario Liberal Party climbs seven points from 28% to 35%, and the Ontario NDP climbs two points from 16% to 18% (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.

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Ontario 42% ▼6 PC 35% ▲7 OLP 18% ▲2 NDP 3% ▼3 GPO Ipsos Ontario poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by region

Toronto 40% ▲40 OLP 40% ▲40 PC 16% ▲16 NDP Ipsos Ontario poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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GTA 44% ▲44 OLP 39% ▲39 PC 13% ▲13 NDP 2% ▲2 GPO Ipsos Ontario poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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Central Ontario 62% ▲62 PC 18% ▲18 OLP 15% ▲15 NDP 3% ▲3 GPO Ipsos Ontario poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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Southwestern Ontario 38% ▲38 PC 28% ▲28 OLP 26% ▲26 NDP 4% ▲4 GPO Ipsos Ontario poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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Eastern Ontario 43% ▲43 PC 37% ▲37 OLP 16% ▲16 NDP 1% ▲1 GPO Ipsos Ontario poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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North 46% ▲46 PC 26% ▲26 OLP 16% ▲16 NDP 2% ▲2 GPO Ipsos Ontario poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 42% PC 37% ▲3 OLP 15% ▼2 NDP 3% ▼2 GPO Ipsos Ontario poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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Male voters 41% ▼15 PC 33% ▲11 OLP 20% ▲6 NDP 2% ▼4 GPO Ipsos Ontario poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 43% ▲14 OLP 27% ▼22 PC 24% ▲10 NDP 5% ▼1 GPO Ipsos Ontario poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 48% ▲2 PC 30% ▲2 OLP 16% ▼1 NDP 1% ▼6 GPO Ipsos Ontario poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 46% ▼4 PC 33% ▲5 OLP 14% ▼2 NDP 2% ▼3 GPO Ipsos Ontario poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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Government approval 49% Disapprove 42% Approve 9% Neutral/Unsure Ipsos Ontario poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability of Marit Stiles 34% Neutral / Unsure 34% Negative / unfavourable 32% Positive / favourable Ipsos Ontario poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Marit Stiles 32% 34%2026-03-11 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of John Fraser 47% Neutral / Unsure 29% Negative / unfavourable 24% Positive / favourable Ipsos Ontario poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, John Fraser 24% 29%2026-03-11 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Mike Schreiner 42% Neutral / Unsure 31% Negative / unfavourable 27% Positive / favourable Ipsos Ontario poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Mike Schreiner 27% 31%2026-03-11 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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