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Ontario

About this Ontario poll from Liaison Strategies


This Ontario poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in February 2026, with a middle field date of February 21, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Ontario respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (January 2026), the Ontario PC Party loses two points from 42% to 40% (variation smaller than moe), the Ontario Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the Ontario NDP remains stable at 17%.

You can read more information on this poll here.

Back to Ontario polls

Ontario 40% ▼2 PC 36% ▲1 OLP 17% NDP 5% ▲2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-02-21 338Canada.com


Breakdown by region

Toronto 46% OLP 36% ▼2 PC 14% ▲1 NDP 1% ▼2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-02-21 338Canada.com
GTA 43% ▲1 OLP 40% ▼1 PC 12% ▼1 NDP 4% ▲2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-02-21 338Canada.com
Central Ontario 38% ▼2 PC 32% ▼2 NDP 23% OLP 4% ▲2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-02-21 338Canada.com

Southwestern Ontario 42% PC 28% ▼3 OLP 18% ▲1 NDP 10% ▲2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-02-21 338Canada.com
Eastern Ontario 48% ▼7 PC 28% ▲5 OLP 17% ▼1 NDP 4% ▲2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-02-21 338Canada.com
North 38% ▼3 OLP 29% ▼3 PC 21% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲1 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-02-21 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 42% ▲24 OLP 34% ▼2 PC 17% NDP 4% ▲2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-02-21 338Canada.com
Male voters 47% ▼2 PC 30% ▲15 OLP 16% ▲1 NDP 5% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-02-21 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 37% ▼2 PC 31% ▲1 OLP 23% NDP 7% ▲1 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-02-21 338Canada.com
35-49 years old 45% ▼1 PC 32% ▲1 OLP 17% NDP 4% ▲1 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-02-21 338Canada.com

50-64 years old 41% ▲1 OLP 41% ▼2 PC 12% NDP 3% ▲1 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-02-21 338Canada.com
65+ years old 40% OLP 39% ▼3 PC 14% ▼1 NDP 4% ▲2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-02-21 338Canada.com



Government approval 66% ▲1 Disapprove 30% ▼1 Approve 4% Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-02-21 338Canada.com
Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 30% 66%2026-02-21 31% 65%2026-01-20 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove



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