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Ontario

About this poll


This Ontario poll was fielded by Abacus Data in September 2025, with a middle field date of September 15, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,021 Ontario respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (August 2025), the Ontario PC Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Ontario Liberal Party loses three points from 27% to 24% (variation similar to moe), and the Ontario NDP remains stable at 12%.

You can read more information on this poll here.

Return to the list Ontario polls here.
Ontario 52% PCPO 24% OLP 12% NDP 6% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com


Breakdown by region

Toronto 52% PCPO 28% OLP 8% NDP 6% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com
GTHA 49% PCPO 27% OLP 13% NDP 5% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com
Southwestern Ontario 60% PCPO 18% OLP 10% NDP 7% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com

Eastern Ontario 50% PCPO 26% OLP 12% NDP 7% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 49% PCPO 26% OLP 15% NDP 5% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com
Male voters 55% PCPO 23% OLP 9% NDP 7% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 39% PCPO 35% OLP 14% NDP 7% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 49% PCPO 29% OLP 10% NDP 7% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 62% PCPO 14% OLP 11% NDP 7% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com
60+ years old 55% PCPO 23% OLP 13% NDP 3% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com


Preferred Premier 46% Ford 18% Crombie 18% Don't know 12% Stiles 6% Schreiner Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Preferred Premier tracker 18% 46% 12% 18%2025-09-15 18% 48% 12% 18%2025-08-17 20% 46% 12% 17%2025-07-13 25% 40% 15% 14%2025-02-25 ◻︎Crombie ◻︎Ford ◻︎Stiles ◻︎Schreiner ◻︎Don't know 

Government approval 47% Approve 31% Disapprove 22% Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 47% 31%2025-09-15 48% 30%2025-08-17 44% 32%2025-07-13 44% 31%2025-06-04 41% 42%2025-02-25 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove


Impression / favourability of Doug Ford 46% Positive / favourable 33% Negative / unfavourable 21% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Doug Ford 46% 33%2025-09-15 46% 32%2025-08-17 46% 33%2025-07-13 44% 33%2025-06-04 41% 40%2025-02-25 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Marit Stiles 45% Neutral / Unsure 28% Positive / favourable 27% Negative / unfavourable Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Marit Stiles 28% 27%2025-09-15 27% 27%2025-08-17 28% 24%2025-07-13 28% 25%2025-06-04 33% 24%2025-02-25 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Bonnie Crombie 37% Neutral / Unsure 34% Negative / unfavourable 29% Positive / favourable Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Bonnie Crombie 29% 34%2025-09-15 30% 33%2025-08-17 33% 32%2025-07-13 31% 33%2025-06-04 33% 31%2025-02-25 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Mike Schreiner 53% Neutral / Unsure 24% Negative / unfavourable 23% Positive / favourable Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-15 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mike Schreiner 23% 24%2025-09-15 23% 23%2025-08-17 25% 21%2025-07-13 24% 23%2025-06-04 24% 21%2025-02-25 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable


P#412