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Recent electoral history | Cumberland North


2017 2021 2024 Projection IND 55% ± 11% 0.0% 54.0% 55.2% PC 33% ± 9% 51.7% 7.0% 34.1% NDP 5% ± 3% 7.1% 7.3% 4.3% LIB 4% ± 3% 38.6% 31.7% 6.5%

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338Canada Cumberland North projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Cumberland North 44% 65% 55% ± 11% IND 24% 42% 33% ± 9% PC 2% 8% 5% ± 3% NDP 1% 7% 4% ± 3% LIB IND 2024 55.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Cumberland North 98%▲ IND 2%▼ PC <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Cumberland North

LIB 4% ± 3% PC 33% ± 9% NDP 5% ± 3% IND 55% ± 11% Popular vote projection % | Cumberland North 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP IND February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC 35% LIB 6% NDP 4% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC 34% LIB 5% NDP 4% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC 34% LIB 5% NDP 5% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC 33% NDP 5% LIB 4% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Cumberland North

LIB <1% PC 2% NDP <1% IND 98% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP IND February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC 4% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC 3% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC 3% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC 2% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2026-02-18