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Nova scotia

Cumberland North


MLA elect (unofficial): Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin (IND)

Latest projection: November 27, 2024
IND safe

Candidates | Cumberland North


Progressive Conservative Bill Dowe
Liberal Party Kurt Ditner
New Democratic Party Tyson Boyd
Independent Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Cumberland North 55% ± 0%▲ IND 34% ± 0%▲ PC 6% ± 0%▼ LIB 4% ± 0%▼ NDP IND 2024 54.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Cumberland North >99%▲ IND <1%▼ PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | November 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Cumberland North

LIB 6% ± 0% PC 34% ± 0% NDP 4% ± 0% IND 55% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Cumberland North 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP IND November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 LIB 28% PC 16% NDP 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 LIB 27% PC 16% NDP 10% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 LIB 27% PC 17% NDP 10% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 LIB 26% PC 17% NDP 11% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 LIB 26% PC 18% NDP 11% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 26% LIB 21% NDP 12% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC 34% LIB 6% NDP 4% 2024-11-27

Odds of winning | Cumberland North

LIB <1% NDP <1% IND >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB NDP IND November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 LIB <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 LIB <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 LIB <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 LIB <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 LIB <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 LIB <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-27

Recent electoral history | Cumberland North



2017 2021 Proj. IND 0.0% 54.0% 55% ± 0% LIB 38.6% 31.7% 6% ± 0% NDP 7.1% 7.3% 4% ± 0% PC 51.7% 7.0% 34% ± 0%