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Manitoba

Winnipeg suburbs, 22 districts



Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2019)
9 6 1 2 18 6
0 2 1 0 3 15
1 0 0 0 1 1
Projected ahead Last election (2019)
18 6
3 15
1 1




Projection | the Winnipeg suburbs


Latest update: October 7, 2023
Winnipeg suburbs 48% ± 1% 37% ± 1% 14% ± 1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 7, 2023
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Winnipeg suburbs, 22 districts 18▲ [16-18] 3▼ [3-5] 1 [1-1] 0 [0-0] 338Canada seat projection | October 7, 2023
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Winnipeg suburbs

LIB 14% ± 1% PC 37% ± 1% NDP 48% ± 1% Popular vote projection % | Winnipeg suburbs 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 Election 2023 LIB PC NDP

Seat projection | Winnipeg suburbs

LIB 1 [1-1] PC 3 [3-5] NDP 18 [16-18] Seat projection | Winnipeg suburbs 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 Election 2023 LIB PC NDP

List of electoral districts


Latest update: October 7, 2023
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
002 Assiniboia NDP likely
006 Burrows NDP likely
012 Fort Garry NDP safe
013 Fort Richmond NDP safe
015 Fort Whyte PC likely
018 Kildonan-River East NDP likely
019 Kirkfield Park NDP likely
022 Lagimodière Toss up
024 McPhillips NDP leaning
030 Radisson NDP likely
033 Riel NDP safe
035 Roblin PC likely
036 Rossmere NDP likely
037 Seine River NDP safe
039 Southdale NDP safe
043 St. James NDP safe
045 St. Vital NDP safe
048 The Maples NDP safe
051 Transcona NDP safe
053 Tuxedo PC leaning
054 Tyndall Park LIB safe
056 Waverley Toss up
Electoral district
002 Assiniboia
006 Burrows
012 Fort Garry
013 Fort Richmond
015 Fort Whyte
018 Kildonan-River East
019 Kirkfield Park
022 Lagimodière
024 McPhillips
030 Radisson
033 Riel
035 Roblin
036 Rossmere
037 Seine River
039 Southdale
043 St. James
045 St. Vital
048 The Maples
051 Transcona
053 Tuxedo
054 Tyndall Park
056 Waverley