Winnipeg suburbs, 22 districts
Safe | Likely | Leaning | Toss up | Projected ahead | Last election (2019) | |
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 6 | |
0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | |
1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Projected ahead | Last election (2019) | |
18 | 6 | |
3 | 15 | |
1 | 1 |
Projection | the Winnipeg suburbs
Latest update: October 7, 2023
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today.
The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes.
The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean.
Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.
Popular vote projection | Winnipeg suburbs
Seat projection | Winnipeg suburbs
List of electoral districts
Latest update: October 7, 2023
Electoral district | Current party | Latest projection |
---|---|---|
002 Assiniboia | NDP likely | |
006 Burrows | NDP likely | |
012 Fort Garry | NDP safe | |
013 Fort Richmond | NDP safe | |
015 Fort Whyte | PC likely | |
018 Kildonan-River East | NDP likely | |
019 Kirkfield Park | NDP likely | |
022 Lagimodière | Toss up | |
024 McPhillips | NDP leaning | |
030 Radisson | NDP likely | |
033 Riel | NDP safe | |
035 Roblin | PC likely | |
036 Rossmere | NDP likely | |
037 Seine River | NDP safe | |
039 Southdale | NDP safe | |
043 St. James | NDP safe | |
045 St. Vital | NDP safe | |
048 The Maples | NDP safe | |
051 Transcona | NDP safe | |
053 Tuxedo | PC leaning | |
054 Tyndall Park | LIB safe | |
056 Waverley | Toss up |