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About this Mainstreet Research federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Mainstreet Research in February 2026, with a middle field date of February 1, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,276 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.7%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

The regional breakdown of this poll was not made publicly available.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Mainstreet Research (December 2025), the Liberal Party climbs ten points from 41% to 51%, the Conservative Party loses six points from 42% to 36%, and the Bloc Québécois loses two points from 7% to 5% (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 51% ▲10 LPC 36% ▼6 CPC 5% ▼2 BQ 4% ▼2 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Mainstreet Research federal poll | 2026-02-01 338Canada.com

Past federal polls from Mainstreet Research

LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ PPC Voting intentions % 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 2025-04-25 LPC 44% CPC 43% NDP 5% BQ 5% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 44% CPC 41% NDP 6% BQ 6% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-04-26 2025-06-26 LPC 47% CPC 38% NDP 6% BQ 3% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2025-06-26 2025-08-30 LPC 42% CPC 40% NDP 8% BQ 5% PPC 2% GPC 1% 2025-08-30 2025-11-08 LPC 44% CPC 40% BQ 6% NDP 5% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-11-08 2025-12-10 CPC 42% LPC 41% BQ 7% NDP 6% PPC 1% GPC 1% 2025-12-10 2026-02-01 LPC 51% CPC 36% BQ 5% NDP 4% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2026-02-01 February 1, 2026
Hover over and click on the coloured dots to access poll details.






Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 64% ▲20 Positive / favourable 33% ▼16 Negative / unfavourable 3% ▼4 Neutral / Unsure Mainstreet Research federal poll | 2026-02-01 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 64% 33%2026-02-01 44% 49%2025-12-10 56% 41%2025-11-08 55% 37%2025-06-26 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 54% ▲9 Negative / unfavourable 42% ▼3 Positive / favourable 4% ▼6 Neutral / Unsure Mainstreet Research federal poll | 2026-02-01 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 42% 54%2026-02-01 45% 45%2025-12-10 44% 50%2025-11-08 46% 48%2025-06-26 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable



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