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About this Nanos Research federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Nanos Research from December 26, 2025 to January 16, 2026 (four-week rolling poll). The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,084 Canadian respondents via live telephone interviews.

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.0%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

The regional breakdown of this poll was not made publicly available.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Nanos Research (January 2026), the Liberal Party remains stable at 39%, the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 39% LPC 35% ▼1 CPC 12% ▲1 NDP 8% BQ 5% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Nanos Research federal poll | 2026-01-16 338Canada.com

Past federal polls from Nanos Research

LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ PPC Voting intentions % 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 2025-04-27 LPC 42% CPC 39% NDP 8% BQ 7% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-27 2025-05-02 LPC 42% CPC 39% NDP 8% BQ 6% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2025-05-02 2025-05-09 LPC 42% CPC 41% NDP 8% BQ 5% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2025-05-09 2025-05-16 LPC 41% CPC 40% NDP 9% BQ 5% GPC 4% PPC 1% 2025-05-16 2025-05-23 LPC 40% CPC 39% NDP 10% BQ 6% GPC 4% PPC 1% 2025-05-23 2025-05-30 LPC 42% CPC 36% NDP 11% BQ 7% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2025-05-30 2025-06-06 LPC 43% CPC 33% NDP 12% BQ 7% GPC 4% PPC 1% 2025-06-06 2025-06-13 LPC 44% CPC 32% NDP 11% BQ 6% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-06-13 2025-06-20 LPC 45% CPC 31% NDP 12% BQ 6% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-06-20 2025-06-27 LPC 45% CPC 31% NDP 13% BQ 6% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-06-27 2025-07-04 LPC 45% CPC 33% NDP 12% BQ 6% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-07-04 2025-07-11 LPC 45% CPC 34% NDP 11% BQ 6% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-07-11 2025-07-18 LPC 44% CPC 34% NDP 10% BQ 7% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-07-18 2025-07-25 LPC 44% CPC 34% NDP 12% BQ 6% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-07-25 2025-08-01 LPC 44% CPC 33% NDP 12% BQ 5% PPC 3% GPC 3% 2025-08-01 2025-08-08 LPC 45% CPC 32% NDP 12% BQ 6% PPC 3% GPC 3% 2025-08-08 2025-08-15 LPC 44% CPC 32% NDP 12% BQ 5% PPC 3% GPC 3% 2025-08-15 2025-08-22 LPC 44% CPC 34% NDP 11% BQ 6% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-08-22 2025-08-29 LPC 43% CPC 32% NDP 13% BQ 6% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-08-29 2025-09-05 LPC 43% CPC 33% NDP 13% BQ 5% GPC 4% PPC 2% 2025-09-05 2025-09-12 LPC 42% CPC 35% NDP 13% BQ 6% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-09-12 2025-09-19 LPC 41% CPC 36% NDP 12% BQ 6% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-09-19 2025-09-26 LPC 41% CPC 37% NDP 12% BQ 5% GPC 4% PPC 1% 2025-09-26 2025-10-03 LPC 39% CPC 38% NDP 12% BQ 6% GPC 4% PPC 1% 2025-10-03 2025-10-10 LPC 39% CPC 37% NDP 12% BQ 7% GPC 4% PPC 1% 2025-10-10 2025-10-17 LPC 39% CPC 37% NDP 12% BQ 7% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2025-10-17 2025-10-24 LPC 39% CPC 37% NDP 13% BQ 7% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-10-24 2025-10-31 LPC 39% CPC 37% NDP 13% BQ 7% PPC 2% GPC 2% 2025-10-31 2025-11-07 LPC 40% CPC 37% NDP 11% BQ 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-11-07 2025-11-14 LPC 40% CPC 38% NDP 10% BQ 7% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-11-14 2025-11-21 LPC 42% CPC 37% NDP 9% BQ 7% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-11-21 2025-11-28 LPC 42% CPC 38% NDP 8% BQ 7% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2025-11-28 2025-12-05 LPC 39% CPC 38% NDP 10% BQ 6% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-12-05 2025-12-12 LPC 39% CPC 36% NDP 11% BQ 7% GPC 4% PPC 2% 2025-12-12 2025-12-19 CPC 36% LPC 36% NDP 11% BQ 7% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-12-19 2025-12-26 LPC 38% CPC 35% NDP 11% BQ 7% GPC 4% PPC 2% 2025-12-26 2026-01-02 LPC 38% CPC 36% NDP 12% BQ 8% GPC 4% PPC 2% 2026-01-02 2026-01-09 LPC 39% CPC 36% NDP 11% BQ 8% GPC 4% PPC 2% 2026-01-09 2026-01-16 LPC 39% CPC 35% NDP 12% BQ 8% GPC 5% PPC 2% 2026-01-16 January 18, 2026
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Preferred PM 51% ▲2 Carney 25% ▼2 Poilievre 11% ▼1 Don't know 4% May 4% Blanchet 3% Davies 2% Bernier Nanos Research federal poll | 2026-01-16 338Canada.com
Nanos Research Preferred PM tracker 51% 25%2026-01-16 49% 27%2026-01-09 49% 26%2026-01-02 49% 28%2025-12-26 46% 29%2025-12-19 51% 26%2025-12-12 50% 28%2025-12-05 53% 25%2025-11-28 53% 26%2025-11-21 50% 28%2025-11-14 ◻︎Carney ◻︎Others ◻︎Don't know ◻︎Poilievre





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