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Quebec

Quebec Sovereignty Projection


Latest update: October 21, 2025

Sovereignty projection | Montréal CMA 63% ± 6% 29% ± 6% 8% ± 3% 338Canada Quebec | October 21, 2025
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Distribution of undecideds | Montréal CMA 63% 8% 29% Before distribution 69% 31% Proportional distribution 67% 33% Half & half 69% 31% Two thirds to No camp 66% 34% Two thirds to Yes camp 338Canada Quebec | October 21, 2025

For the complete list of Quebec sovereignty polls, click here.

This page is still under construction. More chart coming soon.