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Quebec

Quebec Sovereignty Projection


Latest update: August 22, 2025

Sovereignty projection | Montréal CMA 61% ± 6%▼ 28% ± 6%▲ 10% ± 4%▼ 338Canada Quebec | August 22, 2025
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Distribution of undecideds | Montréal CMA 61% 10% 28% Before distribution 68% 32% Proportional distribution 66% 34% Half & half 68% 32% Two thirds to No camp 65% 35% Two thirds to Yes camp 338Canada Quebec | August 22, 2025

For the complete list of Quebec sovereignty polls, click here.

This page is still under construction. More chart coming soon.