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338Canada Projection: Quebec Sovereignty

Latest update: April 20, 2026



Sovereignty projection | Male voters 53% 65% 59% ± 6% 28% 40% 34% ± 6% 3% 10% 6% ± 3% 338Canada Quebec | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Distribution of undecideds | Male voters 59% 6% 34% Before distribution 63% 37% Proportional distribution 62% 38% Half & half 64% 36% Two thirds to No camp 61% 39% Two thirds to Yes camp 338Canada Quebec | April 20, 2026

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