logo
Quebec

Quebec Sovereignty Projection


Latest update: September 15, 2025

Sovereignty projection | Francophone voters 50% ± 5%▼ 42% ± 5%▲ 8% ± 3% 338Canada Quebec | September 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Distribution of undecideds | Francophone voters 50% 8% 42% Before distribution 55% 45% Proportional distribution 54% 46% Half & half 56% 44% Two thirds to No camp 53% 47% Two thirds to Yes camp 338Canada Quebec | September 15, 2025

For the complete list of Quebec sovereignty polls, click here.

This page is still under construction. More chart coming soon.