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338Canada Projection: Quebec Sovereignty

Latest update: April 20, 2026



Sovereignty projection | 18-34 years old 46% 64% 55% ± 9% 30% 47% 38% ± 9% 2% 11% 6% ± 4% 338Canada Quebec | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Distribution of undecideds | 18-34 years old 55% 6% 38% Before distribution 59% 41% Proportional distribution 59% 41% Half & half 60% 40% Two thirds to No camp 57% 43% Two thirds to Yes camp 338Canada Quebec | April 20, 2026

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