logo
Quebec
Quebec flag

338Canada Projection: Quebec Sovereignty

Latest update: February 28, 2026



Sovereignty projection | 18-34 years old 48% 66% 57% ± 9% 25% 42% 33% ± 8% 4% 15% 10% ± 5% 338Canada Quebec | February 28, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. Details on 338Canada’s methodology are available here.
Distribution of undecideds | 18-34 years old 57% 10% 33% Before distribution 63% 37% Proportional distribution 62% 38% Half & half 64% 36% Two thirds to No camp 60% 40% Two thirds to Yes camp 338Canada Quebec | February 28, 2026

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…