The Record So Far
2026 Quebec General Election
October 5, 2026
The tables below show how the final 338Canada projection fared against the election results.
| Districts | Correct winner |
Incorrect winner |
Correct % | |
| Safe | 70 | 69 | 1 | 99% |
| Likely | 30 | 27 | 3 | 90% |
| Leaning | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% |
| Toss up | 22 | 17 | 5 | 77% |
| Total | 127 | 117 | 10 | 92% |
Here is the record of the 338Canada model in every election covered since its creation in 2017. Click on the links to see details.