logo
Canada

The Record So Far



2020 New Brunswick General Election


September 14, 2020

The tables below show how the final 338Canada projection fared against the election results.
47 / 49 (95.9%) Correct winner 0 / 49 (0.0%) Incorrect winner, but within moe 2 / 49 (4.1%) Incorrect winner, outside moe 2020 New Brunswick General Election
Districts Correct
winner
Incorrect
winner
Correct %
Safe 26 26 0 100%
Likely 14 14 0 100%
Leaning 4 4 0 100%
Toss up 5 3 2 60%
Total 49 47 2 95.9%
Districts Correct
winner
Correct %
Safe 26 26 100%
Likely 14 14 100%
Leaning 4 4 100%
Toss up 5 3 60%
Total 49 47 95.9%




Here is the record of the 338Canada model in every election covered since its creation in 2017. Click on the links to see details.

ElectionsCorrect %
2023 Manitoba General Election 91%
2023 Alberta General Election 94%
2022 Quebec General Election 94%
2022 Ontario General Election 87%
2021 Canadian Federal Election 92%
2021 Nova Scotia General Election 64%
2020 Saskatchewan General Election 90%
2020 British Columbia General Election 89%
2020 New Brunswick General Election 96%
2019 Canadian Federal Elections 88%
2019 Alberta General Election 94%
2018 Quebec General Election 90%
2018 Ontario General Election 90%