The Record So Far
2025 Ontario General Election
February 27, 2025
The tables below show how the final 338Canada projection fared against the election results.
Districts | Correct winner |
Incorrect winner |
Correct % | |
Safe | 53 | 53 | 0 | 100% |
Likely | 27 | 25 | 2 | 93% |
Leaning | 14 | 10 | 4 | 71% |
Toss up | 30 | 15 | 15 | 50% |
Total | 124 | 103 | 21 | 83.1% |
Here is the record of the 338Canada model in every election covered since its creation in 2017. Click on the links to see details.