Canada

The Record So Far



2024 Saskatchewan General Election


October 28, 2024

The tables below show how the final 338Canada projection fared against the election results.
56 / 61 (91.8%) Correct winner 3 / 61 (4.9%) Incorrect winner, but within moe 2 / 61 (3.3%) Incorrect winner, outside moe 2024 Saskatchewan General Election
Districts Correct
winner
Incorrect
winner
Correct %
Safe 34 34 0 100%
Likely 12 10 2 83%
Leaning 7 6 1 86%
Toss up 8 6 2 75%
Total 61 56 5 91.8%




Here is the record of the 338Canada model in every election covered since its creation in 2017. Click on the links to see details.

ElectionsCorrect %
2024 Saskatchewan General Election 92%
2024 New Brunswick General Election 84%
2024 British Columbia General Election 84%
2023 Manitoba General Election 91%
2023 Alberta General Election 94%
2022 Quebec General Election 94%
2022 Ontario General Election 87%
2021 Canadian Federal Election 92%
2021 Nova Scotia General Election 64%
2020 Saskatchewan General Election 90%
2020 British Columbia General Election 89%
2020 New Brunswick General Election 96%
2019 Canadian Federal Elections 88%
2019 Alberta General Election 94%
2018 Quebec General Election 90%
2018 Ontario General Election 90%