The Record So Far
2025 Canadian Federal Election
Aprilk 28, 2025
The tables below show how the final 338Canada projection fared against the election results.
Districts | Correct winner |
Incorrect winner |
Correct % | |
Safe | 150 | 149 | 1 | 99% |
Likely | 91 | 85 | 6 | 93% |
Leaning | 42 | 32 | 10 | 76% |
Toss up | 60 | 33 | 27 | 55% |
Total | 343 | 299 | 44 | 87% |
Here is the record of the 338Canada model in every election covered since its creation in 2017. Click on the links to see details.