Canada

The Record So Far



2021 Nova Scotia General Election


August 17, 2021

The tables below show how the final 338Canada projection fared against the election results.
35 / 55 (63.6%) Correct winner 4 / 55 (7.3%) Incorrect winner, but within moe 16 / 55 (29.1%) Incorrect winner, outside moe 2021 Nova Scotia General Election
Districts Correct
winner
Incorrect
winner
Correct %
Safe 25 20 5 80%
Likely 15 7 8 47%
Leaning 8 5 3 62%
Toss up 7 3 4 43%
Total 55 35 20 63.6%




Here is the record of the 338Canada model in every election covered since its creation in 2017. Click on the links to see details.

ElectionsCorrect %
2024 Nova Scotia General Election 98%
2024 Saskatchewan General Election 92%
2024 New Brunswick General Election 84%
2024 British Columbia General Election 84%
2023 Manitoba General Election 91%
2023 Alberta General Election 94%
2022 Quebec General Election 94%
2022 Ontario General Election 87%
2021 Canadian Federal Election 92%
2021 Nova Scotia General Election 64%
2020 Saskatchewan General Election 90%
2020 British Columbia General Election 89%
2020 New Brunswick General Election 96%
2019 Canadian Federal Elections 88%
2019 Alberta General Election 94%
2018 Quebec General Election 90%
2018 Ontario General Election 90%