The Record So Far
2022 Ontario General Election
June 2, 2022
The tables below show how the final 338Canada projection fared against the election results.
Districts | Correct winner |
Incorrect winner |
Correct % | |
Safe | 45 | 44 | 1 | 98% |
Likely | 34 | 32 | 2 | 94% |
Leaning | 24 | 20 | 4 | 83% |
Toss up | 21 | 12 | 9 | 57% |
Total | 124 | 108 | 16 | 87.1% |
Here is the record of the 338Canada model in every election covered since its creation in 2017. Click on the links to see details.