Canada

The Record So Far



2020 British Columbia General Election


Octobre 24, 2020

The tables below show how the final 338Canada projection fared against the election results.
77 / 87 (88.5%) Correct winner 8 / 87 (9.2%) Incorrect winner, but within moe 2 / 87 (2.3%) Incorrect winner, outside moe 2020 British Columbia General Election
Districts Correct
winner
Incorrect
winner
Correct %
Safe 44 44 0 100%
Likely 11 10 1 91%
Leaning 15 11 4 73%
Toss up 17 12 5 71%
Total 87 77 10 88.5%
Districts Correct
winner
Correct %
Safe 44 44 100%
Likely 11 10 91%
Leaning 15 11 73%
Toss up 17 12 71%
Total 87 77 88.5%




Here is the record of the 338Canada model in every election covered since its creation in 2017. Click on the links to see details.

ElectionsCorrect %
2023 Manitoba General Election 91%
2023 Alberta General Election 94%
2022 Quebec General Election 94%
2022 Ontario General Election 87%
2021 Canadian Federal Election 92%
2021 Nova Scotia General Election 64%
2020 Saskatchewan General Election 90%
2020 British Columbia General Election 89%
2020 New Brunswick General Election 96%
2019 Canadian Federal Elections 88%
2019 Alberta General Election 94%
2018 Quebec General Election 90%
2018 Ontario General Election 90%