The Record So Far

The tables below show how the final 338Canada projection fared against the election results.

Here is the record of the 338Canada model in every election covered since its creation in 2017. Click on the links to see details.

Elections	Correct %
2023 Manitoba General Election	91%
2023 Alberta General Election	94%
2022 Quebec General Election	94%
2022 Ontario General Election	87%
2021 Canadian Federal Election	92%
2021 Nova Scotia General Election	64%
2020 Saskatchewan General Election	90%
2020 British Columbia General Election	89%
2020 New Brunswick General Election	96%
2019 Canadian Federal Elections	88%
2019 Alberta General Election	94%
2018 Quebec General Election	90%
2018 Ontario General Election	90%